4 Arden Road, Tullamore, Tullamore, Co. Offaly, R35 AC96
6 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€200,000 · 3 Bed · 2 Bath · 82m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €200,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 6 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 1.3/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
6 closed sales nearby · 13mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €200,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €10,000 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €200,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€10,000
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €200,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €200,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 6 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
6 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
6
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
13 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 6 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Clontarf Rd, Tullamore, Offaly, Offaly | 2025-10-01 | 60.7m² | |
| 70 O'molloy St, Tullamore, Co Offaly, Offaly | 2025-03-18 | 79.2m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Improvement Opportunity: Upgrading the D2 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000 and is projected to increase property value by €15,000-€20,000, offering a strong return on investment.
Energy Cost Discrepancy: Properties with a D2 BER rating typically incur annual energy costs of €1,800-€2,200, whereas properties with B2 BER ratings of similar size could see costs reduced to €800-€1,200, a saving of up to €1,000 annually.
Space Efficiency: The 82m² size is standard for a 3-bedroom end-of-terrace property, offering adequate living space that aligns with typical market expectations for this property type.
Hypothesis: Given the significant potential value uplift and annual savings associated with improving the D2 BER rating, a targeted energy efficiency upgrade presents a high-ROI opportunity for this property, potentially positioning it to command a premium closer to the €310,000 median sale price for similar broad types within 1km.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: While specific routes are not listed, Tullamore is served by Bus Éireann routes and has a train station, offering reasonable connectivity to surrounding areas and Dublin.
Local Services: Tullamore town center provides access to essential amenities including shopping centers like the Tullamore Retail Park, healthcare facilities such as the Midland Regional Hospital, and educational institutions like the Tullamore ETNS and Coláiste Choilm.
Walkability & Green Spaces: The property's location within Tullamore allows for walkable access to local shops, parks like the Grand Canal Walkway, and community services, contributing to a good quality of life.
Hypothesis: The absence of specific transport route numbers in the data suggests that while general connectivity exists, a deeper dive into specific bus routes and their frequency from Arden Road would reveal the true commuter convenience, potentially impacting its appeal for those relying heavily on public transport to Dublin.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.