26 Forge Lane, Lusk Village, Lusk, Co. Dublin, K45 W778
5 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€430,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 95m² · House
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €430,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 5 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 6.7/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
5 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · Low confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €430,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €21,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
€21,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €430,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €430,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 5 verified local sales · Low confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
5 verified closed sales within 5.0km · 36 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price sits marginally below the median of comparable sales. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · Low
5
Transactions Analysed
Within 5.0km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Low
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 5 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Whitethorn Walk, Lusk Village, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-10-31 | 88m² | |
| 20 Little Commons, Lusk, County Dublin, Dublin | 2025-03-28 | 98m² |
Transactions within a 5.0km radius and 36-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Upgrade Potential: Upgrading the C BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000, potentially increasing the property's value by €15,000-€20,000 and reducing annual energy costs significantly.
Space Efficiency: With 95m² for a 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house, the property offers a comfortable average of 31.67m² per room, which is a good balance for family living.
Value Optimization: The asking price of €430,000 is €14,916 below the estimated value, presenting an opportunity to invest in BER upgrades and still achieve a strong return on investment within the local market.
Hypothesis: While the BER is 'C', a targeted investment in insulation and heating upgrades could not only enhance buyer appeal but also potentially position this property above the 1km median sale price for same-type houses (€345,000) by aligning it with the higher-priced 'broad type' sales (€420,000).
Amenities
Commuter Links: Lusk is served by Dublin Bus routes 33 and 33A providing direct access to Dublin City Centre, and is within reach of train services from Rush & Lusk train station.
Local Conveniences: Residents have access to a range of amenities within Lusk Village, including supermarkets like Lidl, local shops, St. Leonard's National School, and medical facilities.
Family Focus: The area is well-equipped for families with multiple primary schools such as St. Macullans National School and secondary options nearby, complemented by local parks and playgrounds.
Hypothesis: The ongoing development and proposed infrastructure improvements in the Lusk area, potentially including enhanced public transport links and further retail offerings, could drive a sustained increase in property values beyond current market trends.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.