Ward Farm, Spricklestown, The Ward, Co Dublin, D11 XC93
7 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€800,000 · 5 Bed · 4 Bath · 216m² · Detached
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €800,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 7 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 3.4/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
7 closed sales nearby · 15mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €800,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €40,000 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €800,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€40,000
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €800,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €800,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 7 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
7 verified closed sales within 3.0km · 24 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
7
Transactions Analysed
Within 3.0km
15 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±15%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 7 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Chapelwood Park, Hollystown, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-11-28 | 194.4m² | |
| 7 Chapelton, Hollystown, Dublin 15, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2024-11-18 | 171m² |
Transactions within a 3.0km radius and 24-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Energy Efficiency Advantage: With a B2 BER rating, this property offers good energy efficiency, likely resulting in annual energy costs between €1,500-€2,000 compared to €2,200-€2,800 for a typical D-rated property of similar size.
Size and Configuration: The property boasts 216m² with 5 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms, a spacious configuration that aligns well with larger family needs.
Value Optimization Potential: Upgrading the BER rating from B2 to a B1 or A-rating, which could cost an estimated €6,000-€10,000, may increase the property's market appeal and value by an additional €10,000-€15,000.
Hypothesis: The current B2 BER rating is solid, but further investment in minor upgrades could push it into the A-rated bracket, potentially unlocking a 5-10% increase in saleability and commanding a higher price in a market that increasingly values energy efficiency.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: While specific routes aren't detailed for this exact address, D11 postcode areas are typically served by Dublin Bus routes connecting to major hubs like Blanchardstown and the city centre.
Local Amenities: The area benefits from proximity to essential services typically found in suburban Dublin, including local shopping centres, primary and secondary schools, and healthcare facilities within a reasonable driving distance.
Walkability and Green Space: The rural setting of Spricklestown implies potential for walking routes and access to green spaces, offering a more tranquil lifestyle compared to dense urban areas.
Hypothesis: The location at Ward Farm, whilst offering a more rural feel, may require buyers to rely more on private transport for access to extensive amenities, suggesting that properties with better direct public transport links in nearby suburbs could hold a stronger appeal for a wider buyer demographic.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.