51 Kincora Grove, Clontarf, Dublin 3, D03 FE08
76 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€13,000,000 · 4 Bed · 3 Bath · 175m² · Semi-D
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €13,000,000, this home is priced well above what similar properties sold for in this area. Overpayment risk is high at this level. A structured bid strategy is critical.
76 closed sales nearby · 9mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €13,000,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €650,000 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €13,000,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€650,000
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €13,000,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €13,000,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 76 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €13,000,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
76 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 0.6% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Financial Exposure · 1071% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€13,000,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
76
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
9 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±15%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 76 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 Kincora Grove, Clontarf, Dublin 3, Dublin 3, Dublin | 2025-12-15 | 174.9m² | |
| 1 Prospect Bay, Clontarf, Dublin 3, Dublin 3, Dublin | 2025-05-29 | 150m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Superior Energy Efficiency: With an A3 BER rating, this property offers estimated annual energy cost savings of €1,000-€1,400 compared to a D-rated property of similar size, where annual costs typically range from €1,800-€2,200.
Details
- Above Average Size & Configuration: At 175m² with 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, this Semi-D is significantly larger than the average 117m² property and boasts more beds and baths than the 3-bed, 2-bath median in the 1km radius, catering to spacious living needs.
- Premium Modern Standards: The A3 BER rating confirms the property meets high modern construction or upgrade standards, offering superior comfort and lower running costs compared to many older homes in the Clontarf area.
- Hypothesis: The property's combination of a top-tier A3 BER and generous 175m² size uniquely positions it to appeal to affluent buyers prioritising long-term energy efficiency and expansive living spaces, likely attracting a discerning family market.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Connectivity: The property benefits from strong connectivity via Dublin Bus routes 130, H1, H2, and H3 serving Howth Road, and is a short distance from Clontarf Road DART station, providing efficient links to the city centre and beyond.
Details
- Abundant Lifestyle & Educational Hub: Residents enjoy access to premium lifestyle amenities like St. Anne's Park and Dollymount Strand, alongside reputable educational facilities such as Belgrove Senior & Junior Schools and Holy Faith Secondary School in the vicinity.
- Vibrant Local Services: Kincora Grove offers high walkability to the bustling Vernon Avenue in Clontarf Village, featuring numerous specific shops, cafes like The Butler's Pantry, restaurants such as Kinara, and essential services including local pharmacies.
- Hypothesis: The unique combination of coastal proximity, extensive green spaces like St. Anne's Park (easily walkable), and a well-established village atmosphere with specific high-quality amenities creates a 'lifestyle premium' in Clontarf, consistently attracting families and professionals.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.