40 Mariners Avenue, Mariners Way, Rush, Co. Dublin, K56 EW21
5 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€495,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 97m² · House
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €495,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
5 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · Low confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €495,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €24,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
€24,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €495,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €495,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 5 verified local sales · Low confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
5 verified closed sales within 5.0km · 36 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 13% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€495,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · Low
5
Transactions Analysed
Within 5.0km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Low
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 5 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Thornchase, Rush, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-12-10 | 84m² | |
| 6 Linn Cuin, Old Road, Rush, Dublin | 2025-10-24 | 89m² |
Transactions within a 5.0km radius and 36-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Exceptional BER Efficiency: The A2 BER rating suggests significantly lower annual energy costs, estimated at €800-€1,200, compared to an average D-rated property of similar size which would incur €1,800-€2,200 annually, a saving of €1,000-€1,400 per year.
Size Advantage: At 97m², this 3-bedroom house is well-proportioned for its bedroom count, aligning with contemporary buyer expectations for comfortable living spaces.
Value Optimization: The asking price is €17,533 below the estimated value, offering a potential immediate gain for a buyer who believes in the property's intrinsic worth, especially with its A2 BER rating.
Hypothesis: Given the A2 BER rating and the property's size of 97m², further investment in smart home technology and minor aesthetic upgrades (costing an estimated €5,000-€10,000) could potentially push the BER rating to A1 and enhance the property's appeal, adding an estimated €15,000-€20,000 in resale value within the next 2-3 years.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity Limited Locally: While in Dublin, there are no specific Luas or DART stations mentioned as directly serving Rush; proximity to Dublin Bus routes like the 33 is likely key for commuters.
Local Amenities Present: Rush benefits from local amenities including the Tesco supermarket, St. Joseph's Secondary School, and the nearby Kenure Park for recreational activities.
Commuter Drawbacks: The lack of direct rail links (Luas/DART) within immediate walking distance for this specific address means reliance on bus services or driving for longer commutes to Dublin city centre.
Hypothesis: The development of a new park-and-ride facility closer to Rush, potentially linked to an expanded bus rapid transit (BRT) system or a proposed regional rail upgrade, could significantly boost property values in this area by reducing commute times to Dublin by an estimated 20-30 minutes.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.