16 Aranleigh Mount, Rathfarnham, Dublin 14, D14 H1R8
131 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€850,000 · 4 Bed · 1 Bath · 161m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €850,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
131 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €850,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €42,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €850,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€42,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €850,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €850,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 131 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €850,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
131 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the size-adjusted median, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 3.9% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
131
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±16%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 131 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aranleigh Mount, Grange Rd, Rathfarnham Dublin 14, Dublin 14, Dublin | 2024-10-14 | 125.5m² | |
| 12 Longwood Park, Rathfarnham, Dublin 14, Dublin 14, Dublin | 2025-07-07 | 112.4m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Good BER Rating: The B2 BER rating is advantageous, suggesting lower annual energy costs compared to properties with lower ratings; for a 161m² home, this could translate to annual savings of approximately €1,000-€1,400 compared to a D-rated property.
Details
- Generous Size: At 161m², this semi-detached property is larger than the average property size of 94m² within a 1km radius over the last 180 days, offering significant living space and potential for future value enhancement.
- Value Optimization Opportunity: While the B2 BER is good, targeted energy efficiency upgrades could potentially increase value by €15,000-€20,000 for an estimated cost of €8,000-€12,000 if further improvements to an A-rating were pursued, though the current B2 is strong.
- Hypothesis: Given the prevalence of 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom properties in the 1km radius market (median beds/baths), this 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom configuration, while large, may present a slight mismatch for some family profiles; optimizing the bathroom count to two could unlock an additional 3-5% price premium on resale, aligning better with market preferences.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Links: The property is well-served by Dublin Bus routes 66 and 67, providing direct access to Dublin city centre, and is within reasonable proximity to the LUAS Green Line at Dundrum stop (approximately 3km).
Details
- Prime Educational and Healthcare Access: Residents benefit from proximity to esteemed schools such as Loreto Beaufort (1.5km) and St. Columba's College (2km), as well as being near Beacon Hospital (2.5km) and Tallaght University Hospital (4km).
- Abundant Local Amenities: The area boasts a variety of amenities including Rathfarnham Shopping Centre (1km) with Tesco and other retailers, alongside numerous cafes and restaurants along Butterfield Avenue and the village itself, offering excellent walkability for daily needs.
- Hypothesis: The recent development of the 'Dundrum South Dublin' strategic development zone, focusing on mixed-use commercial and residential spaces within a 5km radius, suggests a potential increase in property values due to enhanced local employment opportunities and improved infrastructure, further solidifying the appeal of the Rathfarnham area.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.