Owenreagh, Chapel Lane, Lusk, County Dublin, K45 XV30
12 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€599,000 · 5 Bed · 3 Bath · 139m² · Detached
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €599,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
12 closed sales nearby · 14mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €599,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €29,950 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €599,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€29,950
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €599,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €599,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 12 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €599,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
12 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 23% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€599,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
12
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
14 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±11%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 12 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoneview, The Green, Lusk, Dublin | 2025-09-04 | — | |
| Avalon, Skerries Rd, Lusk, Dublin | 2024-10-25 | 232m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER B3 Efficiency: The B3 BER rating is respectable, suggesting moderate energy efficiency and potential annual energy cost savings compared to lower-rated properties, though upgrades could further enhance this.
Details
- Larger Than Average Size: At 120.0m², this property is larger than the average property size of 90.33m² within a 1km radius over the last 180 days, offering more living space.
- Modern Bathroom Configuration: With 3 bathrooms, this property matches the median of 3 bathrooms within a 1km radius over the last 30 and 180 days, aligning with current market preferences for larger homes.
- Hypothesis: While the B3 BER rating is a positive, the absence of BER data for other properties within the 1km radius (100% BER unknown) suggests a potential opportunity to gain a competitive edge by investing in further energy efficiency upgrades, potentially targeting an A rating to justify premium pricing in future sales.
Amenities
Connectivity to Dublin City: While specific local transport is not detailed, Lusk is served by Dublin Bus routes such as the 33, which provides direct access to Dublin City Centre, a key amenity for commuters.
Details
- Local Educational Access: Lusk Community College and St. Oliver Plunkett's National School are located within Lusk, offering accessible educational facilities for families.
- Proximity to Coastal and Rural Amenities: Lusk offers a blend of rural charm with proximity to coastal areas like Rush and Skerries, providing lifestyle amenities such as beaches and walking trails.
- Hypothesis: Given Lusk's positioning in North County Dublin, the increasing demand for properties with good connectivity to Dublin City, coupled with the ongoing development in the area, suggests a potential for increased property values driven by infrastructure improvements and a growing residential appeal for those seeking a balance between suburban living and city access.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.