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Luxury Home Killiney-Shankhill Coastline, Shankill, Dublin 18, D18 P8C8

15 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.

€3,490,005 · 5 Bed · 9 Bath · 815m² · Detached

Market Position

Priced Within Local Sold Range

At €3,490,005, this home is priced within the typical range of 15 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 1.9/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.

Lavarna, Main Rd, Shankill, Dublin 18, Dublin
3 The Sidings, Station Rd, Shankill, Dublin 18, Dublin

15 closed sales nearby · 9mo recency · Low confidence · Property Price Register

Built from verified nearby closed sales, adjusted for time, size and property match.
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated

We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.

Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.

Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.

Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.

Full methodology →

Opening

Start here

Best & Final

If multiple offers

Ceiling

Do not exceed

Before you bid €3,490,005, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.

Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful

Overbidding by 5% could cost €174,500 before interest.

Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.

What your report includes

Opening offer — what to say first
Best-and-Final position for sealed bids
Walk-away ceiling — when to stop bidding
Escalation strategy & bid increments
Adjusted comparable sales
Price distribution & market momentum
Flood check & planning applicationsPro
Downside risk & deposit equity scenariosPro

Before You Bid

Before you bid €3,490,005, see this.

Here is what the data says about this property.

Will This Go Over Asking?

Low Likelihood
25%probability of going
above asking

Am I Overpaying?

In-Band
62thpercentile of
local sales
Above average for the area

Negotiation Leverage Score

Seller Advantage
28/100

€174,500

That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €3,490,005 home costs you — before interest.

A €19 check before a €3,490,005 commitment.

Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property

You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.

Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions

Opening offer — what to say first
Best-and-Final position for sealed bids
Walk-away ceiling — when to stop bidding
Escalation strategy & bid increments
Adjusted comparable sales
Price distribution & market momentum
Flood check & planning applicationsPro
Downside risk & deposit equity scenariosPro

Based on 15 verified local sales · Low confidence

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Price Distribution Analysis

15 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).

Ask
€503k€3.7m
Asking €3,490,005Size-adjusted median Size-adj. Range Unlock exact local price anchors used to calculate your bid strategy.

Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.

This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.

The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.

Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful

Local Market Momentum

+0.3%year-on-year

Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.

Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12m

Median transaction price per m² has increased 0.3% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.

Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.

Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.

Statistical Confidence · Low

15

Transactions Analysed

Within 1.5km

9 months

Data Freshness

Most recent sale age

±20%

Price Spread

How much prices vary

Low

Confidence Level

Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.

Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.

PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used

Supporting Evidence · 15 Transactions

Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.

AddressSoldDateSize
Lavarna, Main Rd, Shankill, Dublin 18, Dublin2026-01-06112m²
3 The Sidings, Station Rd, Shankill, Dublin 18, Dublin2024-12-19167m²
13 more transactions in full report

Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.

Methodology

Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.

How adjustments work
  • Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
  • Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
  • Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
  • All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates

Full methodology →

Local Market Notes

Property Quality

BER B3 Advantage: A B3 BER rating suggests reasonable energy efficiency, likely resulting in annual energy costs of approximately €1,500-€2,000 for a property of this size, compared to €2,500-€3,500 for a D-rated equivalent.

Generous Proportions: With 9 bathrooms and 5 bedrooms spread across 815m², this property offers a luxurious amount of space, with approximately 163m² per bedroom, well above the typical market standard.

Value Optimization Opportunity: Upgrading from a B3 BER to a B2 could cost an estimated €4,000-€7,000 and potentially increase property value by €7,000-€10,000, representing a sensible investment to further enhance its premium appeal.

Hypothesis: The high number of bathrooms (9) relative to bedrooms (5) suggests a design focused on guest comfort and luxury entertaining, which, while appealing to a niche market, may represent an underutilised area for families seeking more living space, impacting its resale potential to a broader demographic.

Amenities

Coastal Connectivity: The Shankill area is served by Dublin Bus routes 145, 155, and 185, providing direct access to Dublin City Centre, and is within proximity to the DART line at Shankill Station (approx. 1.5km).

Premium Education & Healthcare: Residents have access to renowned secondary schools like St. Gerard's School (approx. 2km) and Holy Child Killiney (approx. 3km), as well as access to St. Vincent's Hospital (approx. 8km).

Abundant Green & Leisure: Proximity to Killiney Hill Park (approx. 1km) and the coastline offers exceptional walking routes and recreational opportunities, complemented by dining options in Dalkey and Glasthule (approx. 4km).

Hypothesis: The strategic location on the Killiney-Shankill coastline, with excellent transport links to Dublin City and a high concentration of premium educational institutions, suggests that properties in this specific micro-location command a significant location premium driven by aspirational lifestyle factors and exclusive community appeal, which is likely to continue appreciating.

Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.

Built on verified Irish public data

Property Price Register

Property Price Register

625,000+ verified closed sales

SEAI

SEAI

Building energy ratings & floor area

Office of Public Works

Office of Public Works

Flood zones, events & study areas

MyPlan.ie

MyPlan.ie

Planning applications nationwide

Common Questions

Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.