50 Ardleigh Vale, Mullingar, Co. Westmeath, N91 E6CV
31 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€360,000 · 4 Bed · 3 Bath · Semi-D
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Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €360,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
31 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
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Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €360,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €18,000 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €360,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€18,000
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €360,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €360,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 31 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
31 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months.
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 6.6% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Financial Exposure · 22% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€360,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
31
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 31 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Ardleigh Vale, Mullingar, Westmeath, Westmeath | 2025-10-06 | 95m² | |
| 72 Ardleigh Park, Mullingar, Westmeath, Westmeath | 2026-01-23 | 99m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Energy Efficiency: The BER rating is PENDING, making it impossible to assess energy efficiency costs or potential savings.
Space Analysis: With 120m² across 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the property offers a good density of 30m² per bedroom.
Value Optimization: Given the PENDING BER rating, investing in an energy audit and subsequent upgrades, such as improved insulation or a more efficient heating system, could add significant value and reduce future running costs, especially if the rating falls into the D, E, F, or G categories.
Hypothesis: The PENDING BER rating represents a potential value-add opportunity; if the final rating is D or lower, an investment of €8,000-€12,000 in upgrades could increase property value by €15,000-€20,000, turning a potential negative into a positive.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: Mullingar is served by national routes and has a train station providing direct links to Dublin Connolly, facilitating commuter access.
Educational Facilities: The area boasts several primary and secondary schools, including Presentation Senior School and St. Mary's CBS, providing a range of educational options.
Shopping and Retail: Mullingar town centre offers a variety of shopping options, including the Lakepoint Shopping Centre, with numerous retail outlets and supermarkets like Tesco and Dunnes Stores.
Hypothesis: The proximity to Mullingar train station, with its direct Dublin Connolly service, significantly enhances the property's appeal for commuters, suggesting a potential uplift in value attributable to this transport link compared to properties without such direct connectivity.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.