49 Ardkill Place, Ballinagh, Co Cavan, Ballinagh, Co. Cavan, H12 D261
10 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€270,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 121m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €270,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
10 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €270,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €13,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €270,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€13,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €270,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €270,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 10 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
10 verified closed sales within 3.0km · 24 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
10
Transactions Analysed
Within 3.0km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 10 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Ardkill Place, Ballinagh, Co Cavan, Cavan | 2025-07-01 | 122m² | |
| 55 Ard Kill Place, Ballinagh, Cavan, Cavan | 2025-11-21 | 119m² |
Transactions within a 3.0km radius and 24-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Energy Efficiency: With a B3 BER rating, this property offers good energy efficiency, likely resulting in annual energy costs of approximately €1,400 - €1,800, compared to €2,200 - €2,800 for a typical D-rated property of similar size.
Spacious Living: At 121.0m², this property is larger than the median 3-bedroom property within 100km, offering more living space which can command a premium.
Value Optimization: The property's B3 BER rating is strong for the region where 100% of recent listings had unknown BER, suggesting potential for value enhancement through minor energy upgrades to a B2 or A rating, potentially costing €8,000-€12,000 and increasing value by €15,000-€20,000.
Hypothesis: The consistent median of 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms across all radii suggests a standardized market preference, implying that a 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom configuration like this property offers, coupled with a B3 BER, presents an above-average quality offering that could see further valuation growth as energy efficiency becomes a more dominant selling factor.
Amenities
Limited Transport: As a property located outside Dublin, direct access to major public transport networks like DART, Luas, or specific Dublin Bus routes serving commuter towns is unlikely, requiring reliance on local bus services.
Essential Services: Ballinagh typically offers local primary schools, small retail shops, and essential healthcare clinics, catering to day-to-day needs within the immediate vicinity.
Local Connectivity: The data indicates very few sales within a 5km radius (7 sales in 180 days), suggesting that the immediate local area has limited commercial activity and amenities compared to larger towns or urban centers.
Hypothesis: Given the 'Outside Dublin' classification and limited sales within a 5km radius, the property's value will be heavily influenced by its proximity to larger towns like Cavan (approx. 10km away), which would offer more comprehensive transport links, diverse retail options, and a wider range of educational and healthcare facilities, impacting its commuter appeal and long-term appreciation.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.