40 The Nurseries, Forest Road, Swords, Co. Dublin, K67 NN79
18 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€675,000 · 3 Bed · 2 Bath · 134m² · Detached
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €675,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
18 closed sales nearby · 7mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €675,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €33,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €675,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€33,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €675,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €675,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 18 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €675,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
18 verified closed sales within 3.0km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 13% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€675,000
Above transaction median
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
18
Transactions Analysed
Within 3.0km
7 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±19%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 18 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Heather View, Forest Road, Swords, Dublin | 2025-02-13 | 155.7m² | |
| Rathingle, Forest Rd, Swords, Dublin | 2024-11-19 | 86m² |
Transactions within a 3.0km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Suboptimal BER Rating: The C3 BER rating suggests potential for energy efficiency upgrades, with an estimated cost of €5,000-€8,000 to reach a B2 rating, which could subsequently add €7,000-€10,000 to the property's value.
Details
- Generous Size for Area: At 134m², this detached house is larger than the average property size within a 1km radius (71m²) and a 3km radius (92m²), offering significant space advantage in its immediate locality.
- Potential for Value Optimization: With 2 bathrooms and 3 bedrooms, the property configuration aligns with the median for the 1km radius (2 baths, 3 beds), but its larger size presents an opportunity to optimize by considering a fourth bedroom or enhanced living space to potentially increase its market appeal.
- Hypothesis: The C3 BER, while not poor, positions the property in the middle tier of energy efficiency in an area where all recent sales (within 5km over 180 days) have an unknown BER, suggesting that proactively upgrading to a B rating could offer a significant competitive advantage and command a premium of 5-8% on resale.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Access: The property is well-served by public transport, with multiple Dublin Bus routes including 41, 16, and 33 providing direct access to Dublin City Centre, and is a 15-minute drive to Dublin Airport.
Details
- Convenient Local Shopping: Residents have easy access to The Pavilions Shopping Centre, located approximately 1.5km away, offering a wide array of retail outlets, supermarkets like Tesco and Dunnes Stores, and dining options.
- Family-Friendly Environment: The area boasts numerous educational facilities, including Swords ETNS primary school (1km) and St. Colmcille's Community College (1.5km), along with childcare options like Little Stars Montessori (1.2km).
- Hypothesis: The strategic location of Swords, particularly near key infrastructure like Dublin Airport and major transport arteries, combined with ongoing residential development, indicates a sustained upward pressure on property values, with properties offering good commuter links likely to see a 7-10% price appreciation over the next 2-3 years, especially those with family-oriented amenities.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.