4 Sarsfield Terrace, Lower Main Street, Lucan, Dublin, K78 F4E7
10 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€440,000 · 2 Bed · 2 Bath · 65m² · Terrace
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €440,000, this home is priced well above what similar properties sold for in this area. Overpayment risk is high at this level. A structured bid strategy is critical.
10 closed sales nearby · 14mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €440,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €22,000 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €440,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€22,000
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €440,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €440,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 10 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
10 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 38% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€440,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
10
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
14 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±15%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 10 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Weir View, Lucan, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-06-26 | 93m² | |
| 48 Sarsfield Park, Lucan, Co Dublin, Dublin | 2025-12-17 | 90m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Improvement Potential: Upgrading the D1 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000 and potentially increase the property's value by €15,000-€20,000.
Energy Cost Disparity: This D1 BER property's estimated annual energy costs could be €1,800-€2,200, compared to €800-€1,200 for a similar-sized B2 rated property, representing a significant annual saving of €1,000.
Size Efficiency: At 65.0m², this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom terrace offers a reasonable space-to-room ratio, but could feel compact compared to newer builds or larger family homes.
Hypothesis: The D1 BER rating, while common, represents a significant opportunity for value enhancement. Investing in a comprehensive energy upgrade could not only improve comfort and reduce running costs but also position the property more favourably against a backdrop of increasing energy efficiency regulations and buyer demand for sustainable homes.
Amenities
Key Transport Links: The property is served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 66, and 67, providing direct access to Dublin City Centre and surrounding areas.
Local Education Hub: Close proximity to Scoil Mhuire Junior and Senior Schools and Lucan Community College offers excellent educational options for families.
Convenient Retail Access: Situated on Lower Main Street, residents have easy walking access to a range of local shops, pharmacies, and supermarkets like SuperValu.
Hypothesis: The consistent development of infrastructure in Lucan, particularly transport links like the proposed improvements to public transport corridors, could lead to a further increase in demand and property values in this area, making properties on established streets like Lower Main Street prime candidates for appreciation.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.