33 Celbridge Road, Leixlip, Co. Kildare, W23 A8D5
8 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€630,000 · 4 Bed · 2 Bath · 107m² · Bungalow
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €630,000, this home is priced well above what similar properties sold for in this area. Overpayment risk is high at this level. A structured bid strategy is critical.
8 closed sales nearby · 6mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €630,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €31,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €630,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€31,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €630,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €630,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 8 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €630,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
8 verified closed sales within 3.0km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 31% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€630,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
8
Transactions Analysed
Within 3.0km
6 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 8 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Celbridge Rd, Leixlip, Co Kildare, Kildare | 2025-11-26 | — | |
| 112a River Forest, Leixlip, Kildare, Kildare | 2025-05-30 | 90m² |
Transactions within a 3.0km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Excellent BER Rating: With a B2 BER rating, this property offers significant energy efficiency, leading to estimated annual energy costs of €800-€1,200, representing substantial savings of €1,000-€1,400 compared to typical D-rated properties of similar size which cost €1,800-€2,200 annually.
Details
- Spacious Bungalow Living: This 107m² bungalow offers 4 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, exceeding the median of 3 bedrooms for properties sold within a 3km radius over the last 180 days, appealing to larger families or those seeking more space.
- Favourable Configuration: The property's 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom layout is well-suited for modern family living, offering more bedrooms than the median 3-bed configuration seen in 3km and 5km sales, enhancing its appeal and potential value.
- Hypothesis: Given its B2 BER, this property is already well-positioned for energy efficiency; however, further strategic upgrades such as solar PV installation or an air-to-water heat pump could potentially elevate it to an A-rating, adding an estimated €10,000-€15,000 in market value and attracting a niche segment of environmentally conscious buyers.
Amenities
Robust Transport Links: Leixlip is well-served by Iarnród Éireann with Leixlip Confey and Leixlip Louisa Bridge train stations offering direct access to Dublin city centre, complemented by Dublin Bus routes like the 66 and 67 connecting to various Dublin locations.
Details
- Comprehensive Family Amenities: The area boasts strong educational facilities including Scoil Bhríde and Leixlip Community School, supported by numerous local childcare options like Little Harvard Leixlip, ensuring excellent provision for families.
- Convenient Local Services: Residents benefit from readily accessible amenities such as SuperValu and Lidl for groceries, Leixlip Medical Centre for healthcare, and local recreational facilities like Leixlip Amenities Centre, fostering a self-sufficient community lifestyle.
- Hypothesis: The blend of commuter rail access to Dublin and a robust network of local family-centric amenities positions Leixlip as a highly desirable suburban hub, suggesting that properties like this bungalow will continue to attract families prioritizing both convenience and community, driving sustained demand regardless of broader market fluctuations.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.