13 Shackleton Cross, Lucan, Co. Dublin, Lucan, Co. Dublin, K78 T9X8
18 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€529,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 112m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €529,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
18 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €529,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €26,450 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €529,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€26,450
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €529,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €529,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 18 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €529,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
18 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally above the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
18
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±9%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 18 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Halwell Road, Hallwell, Adamstown, Dublin | 2025-04-17 | 168m² | |
| 23 Shackelton Way, Shackleton Park, Lucan, Dublin | 2025-09-16 | 116m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
A3 BER Energy Efficiency: With an A3 BER rating, this property's annual energy costs are estimated to be €800-€1,200, compared to €1,800-€2,200 for D-rated properties of similar size within a 1km radius, offering annual savings of €1,000-€1,400.
Details
- Optimal Size and Configuration: At 112m², this property is slightly smaller than the 123m² average for the 1km radius over 180 days, but its 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom layout aligns perfectly with the median of 3 beds and 3 baths in the same radius.
- Value Optimization Opportunity: While the A3 BER is excellent, there's a market for further value enhancement; similar properties within 3km achieved a median price per sqm of €4,205 (90-day average) compared to the estimated €4,700 for this property, suggesting slight overvaluation relative to broader local metrics.
- Hypothesis: The A3 BER rating at 13 Shackleton Cross likely positions it favourably against the 100% BER unknown properties in the immediate vicinity, suggesting a potential resale value uplift of 5-10% compared to similar unrated properties that eventually achieve a C or D rating.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: The area is served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 66, and 67, offering direct access to Dublin city centre, and is within reasonable proximity to Adamstown Train Station for broader commuting options.
Details
- Local Amenities: Residents have access to a range of amenities including SuperValu in Lucan Shopping Centre (1.5km), Colaiste Phadraig Secondary School (1km), and Lucan Medical Centre (1.2km) for healthcare needs.
- Family & Lifestyle Focus: Proximity to Griffeen Valley Park (800m) provides green space, and there are several childcare facilities such as Little Angels Playgroup (900m), catering to family needs.
- Hypothesis: The location's appeal is likely enhanced by its balanced offering of commuter transport via Adamstown Train Station and local lifestyle amenities, suggesting that properties with similar connectivity within a 3km radius have seen a 10-15% higher price per sqm compared to those lacking such direct transport links.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.