31 rathborne square, ashtown, dublin 15, d15 rkf4
22 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€635,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 108m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €635,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
22 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €635,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €31,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €635,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€31,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €635,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €25 check before a €635,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 22 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
22 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 9.6% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Financial Exposure · 15% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€635,000
Above transaction median
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
22
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 22 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Rathborne Square, Rathborne, Ashtown, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-11-13 | 135m² | |
| 1 The Mews, Pelletstown Manor, Ashtown Dublin 15, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-10-15 | 68.4m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Superior Energy Efficiency: With an A-rated BER, this property's estimated annual energy costs are €800-€1,200, representing annual savings of €1,000-€1,400 compared to D-rated properties of similar size which typically incur €1,800-€2,200.
Generous Living Space: At 108m², this end-of-terrace house offers significantly more space than the average property size of 86m² sold within a 1km radius over the past 180 days.
Enhanced Configuration: The property's 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom layout provides a notable advantage, as the median within a 1km radius over the last 180 days is typically a 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom residence.
Hypothesis: The property's combination of a top-tier 'A' BER, larger footprint, and an uncommon 3-bathroom configuration for the area positions it as a highly attractive, move-in ready home that should command a premium, especially appealing to families seeking modern comfort and lower running costs.
Amenities
Exceptional Transport Links: The property boasts excellent connectivity through the nearby Ashtown Train Station, providing direct rail access to Connolly Station, complemented by frequent Dublin Bus routes such as the 120 and 122 serving the immediate Rathborne area.
Family-Centric Location: This area is highly appealing for families, featuring reputable educational institutions like Educate Together National School and St. Brigid's National School within close proximity, alongside well-regarded childcare facilities such as Giraffe Childcare Rathborne.
Convenient Lifestyle & Green Spaces: Residents benefit from easy access to essential retail at SuperValu Ashtown and enjoy local lifestyle amenities including cafes like Douglas & Kaldi, all within walking distance, with the expansive Phoenix Park providing vast recreational opportunities.
Hypothesis: Continued investment in local infrastructure and the natural appeal of being adjacent to key transport hubs and the Phoenix Park will likely drive sustained demand and appreciation for properties in Rathborne, strengthening its position as a highly desirable residential enclave within Dublin 15.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.