29 valentia road, drumcondra, dublin 9, d09 cp20
77 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€945,000 · 3 Bed · 1 Bath · 105m² · Semi-D
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €945,000, this home is priced well above what similar properties sold for in this area. Overpayment risk is high at this level. A structured bid strategy is critical.
77 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €945,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €47,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €945,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€47,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €945,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €25 check before a €945,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 77 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
77 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 6.3% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Financial Exposure · 43% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€945,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
77
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 77 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Valentia Rd, Drumcondra, Dublin 9, Dublin 9, Dublin | 2025-11-21 | 105m² | |
| 14 Bantry Rd, Drumcondra, Dublin 9, Dublin 9, Dublin | 2024-11-14 | 129m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Upgrade Potential: With a G BER rating, an estimated investment of €16,000-€24,000 could significantly improve energy efficiency to a B2 rating, potentially adding €30,000-€40,000 to the property's value and saving €1,300-€2,700 annually in energy costs.
Optimal Configuration: At 105 square meters, this 3-bedroom property is well-sized, surpassing the average 98 square meters for homes in a 1km radius, while its 3-bed, 1-bath configuration aligns perfectly with the median for recent sales.
Bathroom Enhancement Opportunity: While the property currently features 1 bathroom, the 1km median for baths over the past 180 days is 2, indicating potential for value appreciation by adding a second bathroom to meet prevailing market preferences.
Hypothesis: The significant premium fetched by properties at the higher end of the market in this area suggests that investing in comprehensive BER upgrades and potentially adding a second bathroom would not only enhance livability but also maximize the property's market value, ensuring it competes effectively within its high price bracket.
Amenities
Strategic Transport Hub: This property boasts excellent connectivity with Drumcondra Train Station (approx. 1km), offering direct commuter links, complemented by numerous Dublin Bus routes including the 1, 16, 41, and 122 directly serving Drumcondra Road.
Vibrant Community Hub: Residents benefit from proximity to educational institutions like St Patrick's College (DCU) and Drumcondra National School, alongside lifestyle amenities such as Griffith Park (approx. 500m) and a diverse array of cafes and restaurants in Drumcondra Village.
Comprehensive Local Services: Essential healthcare access is provided by the nearby Mater Hospital (approx. 2km) and local pharmacies, while daily needs are met by supermarkets like Tesco Express and a variety of independent shops within Drumcondra Village.
Hypothesis: The long-established and continuously developing amenities, coupled with strong public transport links in Drumcondra, are fundamental drivers of its sustained property value, providing a stable foundation that buffers the area against broader market volatility and ensures continued buyer interest in family homes.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.