18 Belmont Lawn, Blackrock, Co. Dublin, A94 DW66
41 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€975,000 · 4 Bed · 3 Bath · 135m² · Detached
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €975,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 41 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 4.1/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
41 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €975,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €48,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €975,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€48,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €975,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €975,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 41 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
41 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price aligns with the median of comparable sales. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has decreased 1.1% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
41
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±18%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 41 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Belmont Lawn, Stillorgan Rd, Blackrock, Dublin 18, Dublin | 2025-12-04 | 145m² | |
| 31 Carysfort Downs, Blackrock, Co Dublin, Dublin | 2025-09-16 | 156m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Investment Opportunity: Upgrading the C2 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000, potentially increasing the property's value by €15,000-€20,000 and reducing annual energy costs by €1,000-€1,400 compared to the current rating.
Space Efficiency: With 135m² and 4 bedrooms, the property offers a comfortable 33.75m² per bedroom, which is generally good for a detached home in this area, but direct comparisons to sold properties of identical configuration are needed for precise quality assessment.
Value Optimization: The property's estimated value of €1,038,381 is 6.5% above its asking price of €975,000, indicating a potential need for price adjustment to align with market expectations and achieve a sale.
Hypothesis: Given the C2 BER rating, a strategic investment in energy efficiency upgrades could not only improve the property's environmental credentials and long-term running costs but also unlock a significant portion of the potential €15,000-€20,000 value uplift, making it more competitive against higher-rated properties in the vicinity.
Amenities
Transport Hub: The area is well-served by Dublin Bus routes 46A, 75, and 114, and is a manageable distance from the DART stations at Blackrock and Salthill, providing excellent connectivity.
Educational Ecosystem: Proximity to esteemed institutions like Blackrock College (secondary), Willow Academy (primary), and the UCD Smurfit Business School (short commute) enhances family appeal.
Retail and Leisure: Residents have convenient access to the shopping and dining options in Blackrock village, including the Blackrock Shopping Centre, and can enjoy recreational activities at Carysfort Park and Rockfield Park.
Hypothesis: The combination of the desirable Blackrock address, strong educational facilities, and robust transport links suggests that the premium perceived for properties in this specific locale is influenced by long-term family desirability and established commuter convenience, justifying a higher valuation than more generic suburban locations.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.