La Casita, Church Road, Lusk, Co. Dublin, K45 W529
15 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€850,000 · 4 Bed · 4 Bath · 212m² · Detached
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €850,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
15 closed sales nearby · 13mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €850,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €42,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €850,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€42,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €850,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €850,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 15 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €850,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
15 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 22% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€850,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
15
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
13 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±15%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 15 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glocca, St Josephs Ave, Off Post Office Rd, Dublin | 2024-10-16 | 240m² | |
| 66 Scholars Walk, Station Road, Lusk, Dublin | 2024-12-18 | 137m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER B3 Efficiency: With a B3 BER rating, this property is more energy-efficient than average; upgrading to a B2 rating could cost approximately €2,000-€3,000, potentially reducing annual energy costs by €200-€400 compared to a C-rated property of similar size.
Generous Space: At 212m², this detached 4-bedroom, 4-bathroom property offers ample living space, exceeding the typical size for many properties in the surrounding areas and providing good value per square meter if priced competitively.
Investment in BER: While the B3 rating is good, investing an estimated €6,000-€9,000 to achieve an A3 BER could increase property value by €10,000-€15,000 and further reduce annual energy costs by an additional €400-€600.
Hypothesis: The current BER B3 rating suggests a solid foundation for energy efficiency; however, a strategic upgrade to an A-rating could unlock an additional €15,000-€20,000 in property value and significantly enhance its appeal in a market increasingly prioritizing sustainability and lower running costs, particularly if similar properties achieve higher ratings.
Amenities
Connectivity Hub: Lusk benefits from Dublin Bus routes 33, 41, 41a, 41b, 41c, and 43, providing direct links to Dublin city centre, with the nearest train station being Rush and Lusk station (approx. 2km away) on the Northern Commuter line.
Local Education & Retail: The area is served by primary schools such as Lusk National School and secondary schools like Balbriggan Community College (short bus ride), and offers shopping convenience with Lidl and local boutiques in Lusk village.
Healthcare & Recreation: Residents have access to GP services within Lusk and healthcare facilities in nearby towns like Swords (e.g., Beaumont Hospital is accessible via public transport). Local parks and the nearby coastline offer recreational opportunities.
Hypothesis: The proposed infrastructure improvements for Lusk, including potential new public transport links and community facilities, could significantly boost property values in the coming 3-5 years, making properties like La Casita, with their current B3 BER and generous size, well-positioned to benefit from this localized growth.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.