Chaffpool, Ardkeragh, Waterville, Co. Kerry, V23 AY26
20 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€495,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 134m² · Detached
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €495,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 20 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 1.6/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
20 closed sales nearby · 18mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €495,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €24,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €495,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€24,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €495,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €495,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 20 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €495,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
20 verified closed sales within 5.0km · 36 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 45% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€495,000
Above transaction median
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
20
Transactions Analysed
Within 5.0km
18 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 20 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antlantic Heights, Arderig Loher, Waterville, Kerry | 2025-12-16 | — | |
| No. 4 Benjamin Close, Ballybrack, Waterville, Kerry | 2024-09-24 | — |
Transactions within a 5.0km radius and 36-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Upgrade Opportunity: The D1 BER rating presents a significant upgrade opportunity; improving to a B2 rating could cost €8,000-€12,000 but potentially add €15,000-€20,000 to the property's value.
Details
- Enhanced Bathroom Count: With 3 bathrooms for 3 bedrooms, this property offers an above-average bathroom-to-bedroom ratio compared to the local median of 2 bathrooms for 3 bedrooms, enhancing its appeal and functionality.
- Size Advantage: At 134m², this detached property is categorised as 'Large', offering ample living space likely exceeding the average in the local Waterville market, providing significant comfort and utility.
- Hypothesis: Value Through Modernisation: Given the older average stock in rural Kerry, investing in modernizing key features like heating systems and insulation to improve the D1 BER rating could disproportionately enhance market appeal and achieve a higher sale price than non-upgraded comparable properties.
Amenities
Rural Connectivity: Transport relies primarily on private vehicles, with limited public options; Local Link Kerry bus services connect Waterville to nearby towns like Caherciveen, and the nearest train station is over an hour's drive in Killarney.
Details
- Local Conveniences: Essential amenities are accessible in Waterville village, including Waterville National School and Waterville Pharmacy, catering to daily needs, with larger retail options in Caherciveen approximately 20 minutes away.
- Leisure & Nature Focus: The area offers significant lifestyle appeal with Waterville Golf Links, Lough Currane for fishing, and access to the Kerry Way walking trail, appealing to those seeking outdoor and scenic pursuits.
- Hypothesis: Scenic Appeal Drives Demand: Despite limited public transport infrastructure typical of rural Kerry, the unique draw of coastal scenery, world-class golf, and outdoor activities in Waterville creates a niche market demand that prioritizes lifestyle and natural beauty over urban connectivity.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.