Auverne, Thormanby Road, Howth, Co. Dublin, D13 AP94
8 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€995,000 · 3 Bed · 1 Bath · 103m² · Detached
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €995,000, this home is priced well above what similar properties sold for in this area. Overpayment risk is high at this level. A structured bid strategy is critical.
8 closed sales nearby · 13mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €995,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €49,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €995,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€49,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €995,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €995,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 8 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
8 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 37% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€995,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
8
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
13 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 8 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Balscadden House, Balscadden Road, Howth, Dublin 13, Dublin | 2024-12-03 | 192.5m² | |
| 8 Cannon Rock View, Thormanby Rd, Howth, Dublin 13, Dublin | 2025-02-17 | 124m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Upgrade Opportunity: The 'G' BER rating indicates significant energy inefficiency; upgrading to a 'B2' rating could cost approximately €10,000-€15,000 and potentially increase property value by €15,000-€25,000.
Costly Inefficiency: With a 'G' BER rating, estimated annual energy costs for this 103m² property could range from €2,500-€3,500, compared to €900-€1,500 for a 'B-rated' property of similar size.
Size vs. Market Norms: This 103m² detached property, with 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, is smaller than the 1km radius median sale price for same-type detached homes at €1,280,000, which suggests larger, better-appointed properties are achieving premium prices.
Hypothesis: The 'G' BER rating presents a substantial renovation opportunity with a clear return on investment; by addressing energy efficiency, a buyer could unlock significant long-term savings and enhance the property's market appeal, offsetting a portion of the current valuation premium.
Amenities
Transport Hub Access: The property is served by Dublin Bus routes 31, 31a, and 32, with the Howth DART station providing direct rail access to Dublin city centre approximately 1.5km away.
Local Education & Healthcare: Proximity to esteemed schools like Santa Sabina Dominican College (1.2km) and the Kilbarrack Shopping Centre with its adjacent healthcare facilities (2km) enhances convenience.
Coastal Lifestyle: Residents benefit from direct access to the stunning Howth Cliff Walk, numerous seafood restaurants like Beshoff Bros (1km), and local parks such as Liam Kenny Park (1.3km), fostering a high quality of life.
Hypothesis: The allure of Howth as a premier coastal location, combined with its robust transport links to Dublin city and a rich offering of amenities, likely contributes to the higher property valuations observed, suggesting that the premium may be partly justified by lifestyle and convenience factors, despite the current property's specific condition.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.