Apartment 8, Windmill Lodge, Crumlin, Dublin 12, D12 KA62
15 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€295,000 · 2 Bed · 1 Bath · 72m² · Apartment
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €295,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
15 closed sales nearby · 13mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €295,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €14,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €295,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€14,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €295,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €295,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 15 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
15 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the median of comparable sales, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 5.6% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
15
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
13 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±14%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 15 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Windmill Lodge Windmill Rd, Crumlin Dublin 1, Dublin, Dublin 12, Dublin | 2025-02-13 | 70m² | |
| 2 Manor Royston, Kimmage, Dublin 12, Dublin | 2024-12-13 | 55m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Rating Context: The property has a SI_666 BER rating, which is below average for a modern apartment and would likely benefit from energy efficiency upgrades.
Upgrade Investment Opportunity: Upgrading a SI_666 BER to a B2 could cost an estimated €10,000-€15,000 and potentially increase the property's value by €20,000-€25,000, presenting a clear return on investment.
Space Efficiency: At 72.0m² with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, the property offers a functional layout, though the single bathroom could be a constraint for some buyers compared to properties with two bathrooms.
Hypothesis: Given the SI_666 BER rating, the €120,587 price standard deviation within 1km suggests that properties with superior energy efficiency and modern upgrades command a significant premium, potentially making targeted BER improvements a strategic move for maximizing resale value.
Amenities
Transport Hub Proximity: The area is well-served by Dublin Bus routes, including numbers 18, 83, and 151, providing direct access to the city centre and surrounding suburbs.
Local Retail Access: Residents have convenient access to shopping with the Centra on Sundrive Road and the larger Ashleaf Shopping Centre within a short drive or bus journey.
Healthcare Facilities: St. James's Hospital, a major acute general hospital, is accessible within a 3km radius, alongside local clinics and pharmacies.
Hypothesis: The concentration of new residential developments within a 3km radius, indicated by the higher median price per sqm of €6,262 compared to the 1km radius (€5,368), suggests that areas with improved infrastructure and amenity offerings are experiencing stronger value growth, which this property could benefit from with targeted upgrades.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.