Apartment 156, The Willows, Winter Garden, Grand Canal Dock, Dublin 2, D02 X961
211 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€395,000 · 2 Bed · 1 Bath · 68m² · Apartment
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €395,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
211 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €395,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €19,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €395,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€19,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €395,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €395,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 211 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €395,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
211 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the size-adjusted median, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 1.6% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
211
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±17%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 211 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152 Winter Gardens, Pearse St, Dublin 2, Dublin 2, Dublin | 2025-01-09 | 71m² | |
| 159 Wintergarden, Pearse Street, Dublin 2, Dublin 2, Dublin | 2025-01-30 | 74m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Improvement Opportunity: The D1 BER rating indicates potential for significant value uplift through energy efficiency upgrades; improving to a B2 rating could cost €8,000-€12,000 but add an estimated €15,000-€20,000 in property value, with current annual energy costs likely in the €1,800-€2,200 range.
Details
- Size Efficiency: At 68m², this 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment offers a comfortable living space, aligning with the median of 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom sold within 1km over the last 90 days, but is slightly smaller than the average property size of 75.11m² sold in the same radius over 180 days.
- Optimization Potential: The D1 BER rating presents an opportunity for value optimization; investing in insulation and energy-efficient heating systems, costing approximately €8,000-€12,000, could not only reduce annual running costs by an estimated €1,000-€1,400 compared to similar D-rated properties but also enhance its market appeal.
- Hypothesis: Given that all properties within 1km have an unknown BER rating (100.0%), this D1-rated apartment, despite its lower rating, is actually providing more transparency to potential buyers than the majority of comparable properties, potentially creating a niche advantage if its upgrade costs and benefits are clearly communicated.
Amenities
Exceptional Transport Hub: The property is strategically located near the Luas Red Line at the CHQ stop (approx. 500m) and numerous Dublin Bus routes including 74a, 150, and 151, providing direct access to the city centre and beyond.
Details
- Vibrant Urban Lifestyle: Residents have immediate access to a plethora of amenities including gastro-pubs like The Old Storehouse, cafes such as KC Peaches, and the CHQ Building with its diverse retail and dining options.
- Prime Walkability: Situated in Grand Canal Dock, the property boasts excellent walkability, with the Bord Gáis Energy Theatre, Shelbourne Park, and numerous tech and financial employers all within a 1km radius, making it highly attractive for professionals.
- Hypothesis: The ongoing development and expansion of the Grand Canal Dock area, including planned enhancements to public transport and green spaces, will likely further solidify its status as a prime residential and business district, driving sustained property value appreciation for well-located apartments like this one.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.