Apartment 15, Larkfield Hall, Clay Farm, Leopardstown, Dublin 18, D18 EDP1
69 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€395,000 · 1 Bed · 1 Bath · 59m² · Apartment
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €395,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 69 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 3.7/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
69 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €395,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €19,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €395,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€19,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €395,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €395,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 69 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €395,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
69 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 7% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
69
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 69 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apartment 12, Larkfield Hall, Clay Farm, Dublin 18, Dublin | 2025-02-19 | 90m² | |
| Apt.2 - Larkfield Hall, Clay Farm, Leopardstown, Dublin 18, Dublin | 2025-05-09 | 87m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Energy Efficiency Savings: The A2 BER rating suggests annual energy costs of approximately €800-€1,200, offering a saving of €1,000-€1,400 annually compared to a D-rated property of similar size.
Details
- Compact Living Advantage: At 59.0m², this apartment is smaller than the 102.07m² average property size within 1km over 180 days, potentially offering a more manageable and potentially lower-maintenance living space.
- Value Optimization Opportunity: While the current BER is A2, achieving a hypothetical B1 rating (if upgradeable) could further enhance market appeal and potentially add €5,000-€8,000 in value, though no specific upgrade costs are applicable for an A-rated property.
- Hypothesis: The A2 BER rating provides significant immediate energy cost savings; however, the property's smaller size relative to the local average (59.0m² vs. 102.07m²) means its value is more sensitive to the price-per-square-meter performance of similar-sized units, which saw a higher average price per sqm of €6,994 in the last 30 days within 1km.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Hub: This property is well-served by the Luas Green Line at Carrickmines stop, offering direct access to Dublin City Centre, and is also near multiple Dublin Bus routes including the 44 and 175.
Details
- Family & Lifestyle Proximity: It's situated close to St. Brigid's National School and Johnstown National School, with the shopping and dining options of Leopardstown Shopping Centre a short drive away, and the expansive green space of Kilbogget Park nearby.
- Walkable Community Access: The Clay Farm development itself promotes walkability with its own local amenities, and is a short walk to local shops and pharmacies within the immediate residential area.
- Hypothesis: The presence of the Luas Green Line at Carrickmines, combined with the developing Clay Farm infrastructure, is likely to drive future property value appreciation, making this location increasingly attractive for commuters and families seeking convenient suburban living with good access to amenities.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.