9a Park Villas, Castleknock, Dublin 15, D15 XP5Y
25 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€1,075,000 · 4 Bed · 2 Bath · 120m² · Detached
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €1,075,000, this home is priced well above what similar properties sold for in this area. Overpayment risk is high at this level. A structured bid strategy is critical.
25 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €1,075,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €53,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €1,075,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€53,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €1,075,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €1,075,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 25 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
25 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has decreased 9.8% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates softening pricing conditions. Buyers may hold stronger negotiation position.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Financial Exposure · 32% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€1,075,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
25
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 25 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20a Castleknock Green, Castleknock, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-10-20 | 232m² | |
| 22 Stockton Green, Castleknock, Dublin 15, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-11-14 | 134m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Upgrade Opportunity: Upgrading the D1 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000 and potentially increase the property's value by €15,000-€20,000.
Size Advantage: At 120m², the property is larger than the average property size of 90m² within a 1km radius over the past 180 days, offering more space than typical local listings.
Configuration Mismatch: While having 4 bedrooms, the median bed count in the 1km radius over 180 days is 3, suggesting this 4-bedroom layout might appeal to a specific buyer segment.
Hypothesis: The D1 BER rating presents a significant opportunity for value enhancement, and investing in energy efficiency upgrades could yield a strong return, especially considering that 100% of properties within 1km over the last 180 days have an unknown BER, potentially creating a competitive advantage.
Amenities
Transport Links: The area is well-served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 25A, 25B, 25D, 25X, 66, 66A, 66B, 66E, 66N, 67, 67A, 67X, providing comprehensive connectivity.
Local Education Hub: Proximity to schools like Castleknock College, St. Vincent's Castleknock College, and Scoil Thomáis ensures strong educational amenities for families.
Green Space Access: Residents benefit from close proximity to the vast Phoenix Park (approximately 1.5km), offering extensive recreational opportunities and natural beauty.
Hypothesis: The strong integration of transport links (bus routes 25, 66, 67) with established educational institutions like Castleknock College and extensive green space in Phoenix Park suggests Castleknock is a highly desirable residential location for families prioritizing convenience, education, and lifestyle.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.