51 Drury Mills, Saggart, Co. Dublin, D24 YN9K
7 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€495,000 · 4 Bed · 3 Bath · 124m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €495,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
7 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €495,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €24,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €495,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€24,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €495,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €495,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 7 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €495,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
7 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally below the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
7
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±14%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 7 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Millrace Cresent Millrace, Saggart, Dublin, Dublin 24, Dublin | 2025-07-24 | 99.6m² | |
| 40 Carrigmore Meadows, Saggart, Dublin, Dublin 24, Dublin | 2025-01-28 | 102m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Advantage: With an A3 BER rating, this property's annual energy costs are estimated to be €800-€1,200, compared to €1,800-€2,200 for D-rated properties of similar size in the area, offering annual savings of €1,000-€1,400.
Details
- Generous Space: The 124 sqm size offers a comfortable living area, exceeding the average property size of 111 sqm within a 1km radius over 180 days.
- Configuration Mismatch: While the property offers 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, the median within 1km over 180 days is 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, suggesting this configuration is above the typical local offering.
- Hypothesis: The market within 1km shows a median of 2 bedrooms, yet this property offers 4, and despite a higher price per sqm than the local average, the A3 BER rating presents an immediate opportunity to recoup a significant portion of any potential upgrade costs to a higher BER, perhaps via solar panel installation, for even greater annual savings.
Amenities
Transport Links: This area is served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 66, and 67, providing connectivity to Dublin city centre, and is within reach of the Luas Red Line at Saggart stop (approximately 1.5km).
Details
- Local Facilities: Residents have access to essential amenities including SuperValu Saggart (1km), St. Mary's National School (1.2km), and Connolly Hospital Blanchardstown (approx. 6km away).
- Green Spaces: Proximity to Corkagh Park (2km) offers extensive walking trails and recreational facilities, enhancing the quality of life for residents.
- Hypothesis: While transport options like the Luas Red Line at Saggart are accessible (1.5km), the development of a dedicated cycle lane along the main route to the Luas stop could significantly reduce commute times and increase property appeal, potentially adding 5-8% to property values for those prioritizing car-free commuting.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.