49 The Grove, Saint Marnock'S Bay, Portmarnock, Co. Dublin, D13 CF9C
38 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€490,000 · 2 Bed · 2 Bath · 83m² · Apartment
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €490,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
38 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €490,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €24,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €490,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€24,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €490,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €490,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 38 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €490,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
38 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 1% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
38
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±9%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 38 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 The Grove, St Marnock's Bay, Station Road, Dublin | 2026-01-07 | 83m² | |
| 27, St. Marnock's Bay, Station Road, Dublin | 2025-01-28 | 83m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Premium Energy Rating: With an A3 BER rating, this property offers significant energy efficiency, leading to estimated annual energy costs of €800-€1,200, which is a substantial saving of €1,000-€1,400 compared to D-rated properties of similar size.
Details
- Compact Modern Living: At 83m², this 2-bedroom apartment is more compact than the average property size of 106m² sold within a 1km radius over the last 180 days, aligning with modern apartment living preferences in the area.
- Optimal Layout: The property's 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration aligns perfectly with the median bathroom count of 2.0 within a 3km radius over the last 180 days, providing a practical and desirable setup for apartment buyers.
- Hypothesis: The property's A3 BER rating positions it strongly for future regulatory changes and increasing buyer demand for sustainable living, potentially commanding a higher premium especially as the market shifts towards greater environmental consciousness.
Amenities
Excellent Commuter Links: The property benefits from strong public transport links, including proximity to Portmarnock DART station for direct rail access to Dublin City Centre, and multiple Dublin Bus routes like the 102, 32, and 42 serving the wider area.
Details
- Coastal Lifestyle & Convenience: Residents can enjoy the renowned Portmarnock Beach and Velvet Strand for leisure, with convenient access to shopping at Dunnes Stores and Lidl in Portmarnock, alongside various local cafes and restaurants in the village.
- Strong Community Amenities: The area offers excellent family-friendly facilities, including well-regarded educational institutions like St. Marnock's National School and Portmarnock Community School, complemented by local medical facilities such as Portmarnock Medical Centre.
- Hypothesis: The ongoing development within Saint Marnock's Bay, coupled with Portmarnock's enduring appeal as a sought-after coastal Dublin suburb, suggests a sustained premium for well-appointed properties that offer a blend of modern amenities and natural beauty, further enhancing long-term value.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.