45 Annfield Drive, Castleknock, Dublin 15
33 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€425,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 102m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €425,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
33 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €425,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €21,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €425,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€21,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €425,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €425,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 33 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €425,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
33 verified closed sales within 3.0km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price is positioned below the size-adjusted median, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 3.0kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 2.9% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
33
Transactions Analysed
Within 3.0km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±14%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 33 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Fernleigh Dale, Castleknock, Dublin 15, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-10-21 | 101m² | |
| 4 Fernleigh Way, Castleknock, Dublin 15, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-11-18 | 95m² |
Transactions within a 3.0km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Advantage: The B3 BER rating is positioned favorably against the 100% BER unknown rate in nearby markets over the last 180 days, suggesting potential for lower annual energy costs compared to older stock, possibly saving €800-€1,200 annually versus a D-rated property.
Details
- Spacious Living: At 102.0m², this property is 21.54m² larger than the average property size of 80.46m² recorded within a 1km radius over the past 180 days, offering better value per square meter for space.
- Configuration Value: With 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, this property aligns with the median of 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms within a 1km radius over 180 days, offering a desirable and practical configuration for families or professionals.
- Hypothesis: Given that properties with unknown BER ratings dominate the immediate market (100% within 1km over 180 days), upgrading the BER rating of this B3 property further, for example to a B2, could cost an estimated €5,000-€8,000 and potentially add €10,000-€15,000 in value, creating a significant return on investment.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: Residents benefit from direct access to Dublin Bus routes 25, 66, and 67, connecting them to Dublin City Centre and surrounding areas, with the nearest train station, Coolmine, approximately 1.5km away.
Details
- Educational Hub: The property is within proximity to esteemed educational institutions, including Castleknock College (1km), St. Mary's Secondary School (1.2km), and Educate Together National School (1.8km).
- Retail and Leisure: Close to the Castleknock Village offering a range of cafes, restaurants, and boutiques, with the larger Blanchardstown Shopping Centre a mere 3km drive, providing extensive retail and entertainment options.
- Hypothesis: The presence of numerous parks and green spaces, including the vast Phoenix Park (2km away) and local amenities like Mary Ann's Hill Park, combined with the family-friendly schools, suggests a high quality of life that is increasingly being factored into property valuations, potentially creating a lifestyle premium not fully captured by current metrics.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.