41 Knockaphunta Park, Castlebar, Castlebar, Co. Mayo, F23 HX61
6 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€395,000 · 4 Bed · 1 Bath · Detached
Some listing details are missing · add them to improve the analysis
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €395,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
6 closed sales nearby · 5mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €395,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €19,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €395,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€19,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €395,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €395,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 6 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €395,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
6 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months.
Asking price is positioned above the median transaction level. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 23% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€395,000
Above transaction median
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
6
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
5 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 6 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Knockaphunta Pk, Castlebar, Mayo, Mayo | 2025-12-22 | — | |
| 55 College View Avenue, Westport Road, Castlebar, Mayo | 2025-10-24 | 128m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Rating Investment Opportunity: With a C3 BER rating, upgrading to a B2 rating could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000 and is projected to increase the property's value by €15,000-€20,000.
Details
- Space Efficiency: The property offers 120.0m² of living space with 4 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, providing a good balance for family living, though a second bathroom would enhance its marketability.
- Value Optimization Potential: The current estimated value is €259,285, which is significantly lower than the asking price, suggesting ample room for negotiation or investment in improvements to bridge the gap.
- Hypothesis: The C3 BER rating, while not poor, lags behind the median 2 bathrooms in the 100km radius market. Investing in a second bathroom could not only improve liveability but also potentially boost its appeal and value, bringing it closer to the median market expectations and the higher asking price.
Amenities
Limited Public Transport Links: Information on specific bus routes, train stations, or Luas/DART stops serving Castlebar directly is not provided in the raw data, suggesting reliance on private transport.
Details
- Local Amenities Availability: While specific names are absent, the property's location in Castlebar implies access to typical town amenities such as schools, shopping facilities, and healthcare services, though their proximity and quality are not detailed.
- Walkability Concerns: Without specific data on pedestrian infrastructure or routes, assessing walkability to key amenities like schools or shops is not possible, indicating a potential need for a car for daily errands.
- Hypothesis: Castlebar, as a county town, likely benefits from established local infrastructure. However, the absence of detailed public transport and walkability metrics in the data suggests that future development or improved local transport could significantly enhance property values in this area, making it a potential growth driver.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.