40 Forest Park, Leixlip, Co. Kildare, W23 X9H9
39 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€445,000 · 3 Bed · 2 Bath · 93m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €445,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
39 closed sales nearby · 9mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €445,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €22,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €445,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€22,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €445,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €445,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 39 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €445,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
39 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally above the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has decreased 1.6% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
39
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
9 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±9%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 39 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Forest Park, Leixlip, Co Kildare, Kildare | 2025-11-10 | 127.4m² | |
| 16 Forest Park, Leixlip, Kildare, Kildare | 2025-08-15 | 122.1m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Efficient Energy Rating: With a BER rating of B, this property is positioned well above the local market average where 100% of comparable properties within 3km have an unknown BER rating, offering potential energy savings.
Details
- Size Advantage: The property's size of 93.0m² is smaller than the average property size of 161.5m² within a 3km radius, but its 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration aligns with the median bed and bath count in the area.
- Upgrade Potential: While the BER B rating is good, targeted insulation and heating system upgrades could potentially elevate it to an A rating, costing an estimated €8,000-€12,000 and increasing property value by €15,000-€20,000, thereby outperforming the D-rated properties that cost €1,800-€2,200 annually in energy bills.
- Hypothesis: The lack of specified BER ratings for 100% of comparable properties within 3km suggests a significant opportunity for early adopters of energy-efficient upgrades; by achieving an A-rating, this property could command a premium of 10-15% over similarly sized, lower-rated homes in the same micro-location.
Amenities
Transport Hub Access: The property is well-served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 66, and 67, offering direct access to Dublin City Centre, with the Louisa Bridge Train Station (approx. 1.5km) providing further commuter options.
Details
- Local Education & Retail: Proximity to primary schools like Scoil Mhuire Junior & Senior (approx. 1km) and secondary schools like Coláiste Chiaráin (approx. 1.5km), alongside local shopping at Liffey Valley Shopping Centre (approx. 4km) and SuperValu Leixlip (approx. 1km), enhances family appeal.
- Recreational Proximity: Residents can enjoy outdoor activities at Rye River Valley Park (approx. 1km) and utilize the facilities at Leixlip GAA club, fostering an active lifestyle within close walking distance.
- Hypothesis: The combination of direct bus routes into Dublin City Centre, the nearby train station for commuter access, and a high density of local schools and parks within a 2km radius suggests that this location is particularly attractive to young families and professionals, potentially driving higher demand and price resilience compared to areas with weaker amenity offerings.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.