4 Hawthorn Drive, Mountain Bay, Arklow, Co. Wicklow, Y14 W318
6 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€365,000 · 4 Bed · 3 Bath · 133m² · Bungalow
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €365,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
6 closed sales nearby · 6mo recency · Moderate confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €365,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €18,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €365,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€18,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €365,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €365,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 6 verified local sales · Moderate confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €365,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
6 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the size-adjusted median, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · Moderate
6
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
6 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±16%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
Moderate
Confidence Level
Sale prices in this area vary more than usual, so there is some uncertainty in the figures. Bid conservatively and in small increments.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 6 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mountain View Dr, Mountain Bay, Arklow, Wicklow | 2025-03-31 | 97m² | |
| 25 Mountain View Dr, Mountain Bay, Arklow, Wicklow | 2025-10-29 | 87m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER C1 Rating: The property's C1 BER rating offers moderate energy efficiency. Upgrading to a B2 rating could cost approximately €8,000-€12,000 and potentially increase the property's value by €15,000-€20,000.
Details
- Generous Size and Configuration: At 133m² with 4 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, this bungalow offers a spacious layout that is larger than the median of 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms observed in the 10km radius over 180 days.
- Value Optimization Opportunity: Investing in energy efficiency upgrades from the current C1 BER to a B2 rating could yield an estimated €1,000-€1,400 annual saving on energy costs compared to D-rated properties, enhancing long-term value and appeal.
- Hypothesis: Given the property's size and configuration, the primary opportunity for value enhancement lies in improving its BER rating from C1 to a B-grade. This strategic investment could not only reduce future running costs but also significantly narrow the perceived value gap compared to higher-rated properties within a 20km radius, which show a higher average asking price of €403,625.
Amenities
Connectivity to Dublin: While located outside Dublin, Arklow's proximity is supported by the N11/M11 route for car commuters, and bus services like Bus Éireann routes provide connections to Dublin City.
Details
- Local Infrastructure: The area benefits from Arklow town's amenities including supermarkets like Tesco and Lidl, along with St. Mary's College and Arklow CBS for education.
- Recreational Facilities: Residents have access to local parks like Bridgewater Centre grounds and sports facilities, promoting a balanced lifestyle.
- Hypothesis: The presence of ongoing infrastructure development in Arklow, particularly any planned improvements to public transport links or enhancements to the town's retail and leisure offerings, could significantly boost property values within Mountain Bay by increasing its appeal to both local families and commuters seeking a more affordable alternative to areas closer to Dublin.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.