4 Ballynakelly Rise, Newcastle, Co. Dublin, D22 F3P8
12 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€215,000 · 1 Bed · 1 Bath · 45m² · Apartment
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €215,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
12 closed sales nearby · 6mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €215,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €10,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €215,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€10,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €215,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €215,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 12 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €215,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
12 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the size-adjusted median, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
12
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
6 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±6%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 12 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Ballynakelly Rise, Newcastle Lyons, Newcastle, Dublin | 2025-12-17 | 45m² | |
| 2 Lyons St, Newcastle Lyons, Dublin, Dublin 22, Dublin | 2025-11-17 | — |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Rating Advantage: The B3 BER rating offers a significant advantage over the 100% of properties with unknown BER ratings in the local market, suggesting lower energy costs and greater market appeal.
Details
- Space Efficiency: At 45 sqm for a 1-bedroom apartment, the property is smaller than the average property size of 60 sqm within a 3km radius, indicating a focus on compact, efficient living space.
- Value Optimization Potential: While the BER is B3, investing in further upgrades to an A-rating could cost approximately €5,000-€8,000, potentially increasing the property's value by €10,000-€15,000 and reducing annual energy costs by an estimated €400-€700 compared to current B3 levels.
- Hypothesis: The high percentage of apartments (66.67%) within the 1km radius in the last 90 days suggests a localized trend favouring smaller, potentially more affordable dwelling types, which this 45sqm apartment aligns with, indicating its configuration is well-suited to this specific buyer pool.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: While specific routes are not detailed in the provided data, its Dublin D22 postcode suggests potential access to Dublin Bus services and proximity to larger transport hubs, though no direct Luas or DART stops are immediately apparent within a 1km radius.
Details
- Local Services Access: The immediate area is likely served by essential services, with Newcastle village offering local shops and amenities, and the wider Dublin area providing access to numerous educational facilities, healthcare providers like Connolly Hospital (approximately 5-7km), and shopping centres.
- Walkability and Pedestrian Infrastructure: As part of a residential development like Ballynakelly Rise, the area is expected to have reasonable walkability within the estate and to local village amenities, though detailed pedestrian route data is not provided.
- Hypothesis: Given the D22 postcode and its positioning in Newcastle, the property likely benefits from access to bus routes like the 69 or 40 from nearby hubs, connecting to Dublin City Centre in approximately 45-60 minutes, making it a viable option for commuters seeking a balance between affordability and city access.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.