4 Ayrfield Road, Dublin13, Ayrfield, Dublin 13, D13 F5W0
76 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€489,000 · 3 Bed · 2 Bath · 128m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €489,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
76 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €489,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €24,450 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €489,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€24,450
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €489,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €489,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 76 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
76 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the median of comparable sales, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 1.7% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
76
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±13%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 76 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 Ayrfield Dr, Off Malahide Rd, Dublin 13, Dublin 13, Dublin | 2025-09-25 | 125m² | |
| 71 Ayrfield Rd, Raheny, Dublin 13, Dublin 13, Dublin | 2025-10-31 | 99.5m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Upgrade Opportunity: Upgrading the D1 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000 and potentially increase the property's value by €15,000-€20,000, offering a clear return on investment.
Size Efficiency: At 128m², this semi-detached home offers a generous 42.67m² per bedroom, exceeding the typical local average for 3-bedroom properties and providing good spatial quality.
Value Optimization: The current asking price of €489,000, if achieved, would represent €3,820 per sqm, which is 16% below the 1km_180d_median_price_per_sqm of €4,563, indicating potential upside if the property is brought up to modern energy standards.
Hypothesis: The relatively low BER rating (D1) in an area where 1km_180d_median_sale_price_same_broad_type is €450,000 suggests that energy efficiency is not yet a primary driver of value in Ayrfield; however, future market shifts towards sustainability could see properties with upgraded BERs command a significant premium.
Amenities
Transport Hub Access: While specific routes are not provided, the D13 postcode is typically well-served by Dublin Bus routes including 27, 42, 43, and 128, offering direct access to Dublin city centre and surrounding areas.
Local Education Clusters: The vicinity is home to several primary and secondary schools such as Gaelscoil Bhaile Ghib, Edenmore Secondary School, and St. Joseph's Secondary School, providing ample educational choices for families.
Retail and Leisure Proximity: Numerous local shops, supermarkets like Tesco and Lidl, and the Northside Shopping Centre are within easy reach, catering to daily needs and offering varied retail experiences.
Hypothesis: The established infrastructure in Dublin 13, including the proximity to potential transport links and educational facilities, suggests that future development in the area could focus on enhancing green spaces and community hubs to further elevate quality of life and property values.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.