34 Ferns Close, Ferns Bridge, Monasterevin, Co. Kildare, W34 AX29
11 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€299,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · Duplex
Some listing details are missing · add them to improve the analysis
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €299,000, this home is priced well above what similar properties sold for in this area. Overpayment risk is high at this level. A structured bid strategy is critical.
11 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €299,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €14,950 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €299,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€14,950
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €299,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €299,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 11 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €299,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
11 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months.
Asking price is positioned above the median transaction level. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 35% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€299,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
11
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±8%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 11 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Ferns Close, Ferns Bridge, Monasterevin, Kildare | 2024-12-09 | 99m² | |
| 17 Ferns Close, Ferns Bridge, Monasterevin, Kildare | 2025-04-15 | 60m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Pending Opportunity: The BER rating is pending, presenting an opportunity to achieve a better rating and potentially increase the property's value and marketability upon completion.
Details
- Size Advantage: At 120m², this duplex offers a generous living space, comparing favourably to the median 3-bedroom property size in many broader market comparisons.
- Configuration: The property features 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms, a desirable configuration that aligns with the 3-bedroom median across various market radii and a higher bathroom count than the 2-bathroom median seen in broader 100km market data.
- Hypothesis: Investing in a BER upgrade to a B2 or higher rating could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000, potentially increasing the property's value by €15,000-€20,000 and attracting buyers seeking energy efficiency, especially given the 100km_180d_ber_unknown_pct of 100.0.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: Monasterevin is served by a train station providing access to Dublin, and local bus services, though specific route numbers are not detailed in the provided data, offering moderate commuter options.
Details
- Local Facilities: The area benefits from a range of local amenities, including primary and secondary schools such as St. John's National School and means to access shops in the town centre, though specific retail names are not provided.
- Community Services: Monasterevin offers essential community services including pharmacies and local healthcare clinics, contributing to a convenient lifestyle for residents.
- Hypothesis: Given Monasterevin's position as a town outside the immediate Dublin commuter belt but with rail links, properties with excellent on-site amenities or direct public transport access, like a train station within walking distance, are likely to command a stronger price premium than those relying solely on road transport.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.