33 Carlingford Road, Drumcondra, Dublin 9
165 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€675,000 · 3 Bed · 2 Bath · 90m² · Terrace
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €675,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
165 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €675,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €33,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €675,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€33,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €675,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €675,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 165 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
165 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the median of comparable sales. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 3.8% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Financial Exposure · 16% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€675,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
165
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 165 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Carlingford Rd, Drumcondra, Dublin 9, Dublin 9, Dublin | 2025-08-22 | 120m² | |
| 31 Carlingford Rd, Drumcondra, Dublin 9, Dublin 9, Dublin | 2025-03-13 | 100m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Improvement Potential: Upgrading the D2 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000 and is projected to increase the property's value by €15,000-€20,000.
Size Efficiency: At 90.0m², this property is slightly larger than the average property size of 87.2m² sold within a 1km radius over the last 180 days.
Value Optimization: With 2 bathrooms and 3 bedrooms, the property aligns with the median configuration (2 beds, 2 baths) sold within the 1km radius over the last 30 days, suggesting good market fit.
Hypothesis: Investing in an external insulation upgrade and modernising the heating system for this D2 rated property, costing approximately €10,000, could achieve a B3 BER rating, potentially reducing annual energy bills by €700-€900 compared to its current D2 rating and appealing to a wider buyer demographic that values energy efficiency.
Amenities
Transport Network: Excellent connectivity is offered by Dublin Bus routes 14, 16, 33, 41, 41A, 41B, 41C, and 41D serving the immediate vicinity, with Drumcondra train station just 750m away.
Educational Hub: The area is well-served by educational facilities including St. Aidan's CBS (900m), Dominican College Griffith Avenue (1.1km), and Mater Dei Institute of Education (1.3km).
Local Conveniences: Residents have easy access to healthcare at the Mater Private Hospital (2.5km), shopping at Omni Park Shopping Centre (1.5km), and recreation at Griffith Park (600m).
Hypothesis: The strong public transport links and proximity to major employment hubs via Drumcondra station will continue to drive demand for properties like this in Drumcondra, supporting a higher average price per sqm of €6,069 within the 1km radius over the last 30 days compared to the €5,733 over 180 days, with future development plans for improved pedestrian infrastructure potentially further enhancing walkability and desirability.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.