30 Lorcan Park, Santry, Santry, Dublin 9, D09 TX02
132 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€475,000 · 3 Bed · 1 Bath · 86m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €475,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 132 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 3.8/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
132 closed sales nearby · 9mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €475,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €23,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €475,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€23,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €475,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €475,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 132 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €475,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
132 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally above the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 3.2% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
132
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
9 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±13%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 132 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Lorcan Park, Santry, Dublin 9, Dublin 9, Dublin | 2025-12-18 | 86m² | |
| 29 Lorcan Ave, Santry, Dublin 9, Dublin 9, Dublin | 2025-08-15 | 116m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Energy Efficiency Advantage: With a C3 BER rating, this property's estimated annual energy costs are around €1,500-€1,900, offering typical savings of €500-€600 annually compared to D-rated properties of similar size (estimated at €2,000-€2,500).
Details
- Standard Size & Layout: The property’s 86m² size and 3-bedroom configuration are consistent with the average property size of 86m² and median 3-bedroom layout found within a 1km radius, aligning well with local market expectations.
- Bathroom Upgrade Opportunity: The property features one bathroom, which is below the median of 2 bathrooms for properties sold within a 1km radius over the past 180 days, presenting a value-add opportunity with an estimated upgrade cost of €8,000-€15,000 to potentially increase its market value by more.
- Hypothesis: Strategic investment in adding a second bathroom, even a compact one, could significantly enhance the property's market appeal and align it more closely with modern family living standards prevalent in the local area, potentially accelerating its sale and increasing its final value beyond the renovation cost.
Amenities
Excellent Connectivity: The property benefits from strong transport links with multiple Dublin Bus routes, including routes 16, 27, 41, and 41C, providing direct access to Dublin city centre, complemented by convenient access to the M1 and M50 motorways and Dublin Airport.
Details
- Comprehensive Local Services: Residents have immediate access to essential retail and services, including Omni Park Shopping Centre (featuring Dunnes Stores, Penneys, and Movies@Cineplex), nearby Lidl and Aldi supermarkets, and healthcare facilities at Beaumont Hospital (approximately 2km away) alongside local pharmacies.
- Family-Friendly & Lifestyle Appeal: Santry is a highly desirable area for families, offering specific educational facilities such as Holy Child National School and Larkhill Boys' National School, along with valuable recreational spaces like Santry Demesne Park and the renowned Morton Stadium.
- Hypothesis: The enduring appeal of Santry’s comprehensive amenities, particularly its strategic transport access, diverse retail options, and strong educational infrastructure, will continue to drive demand, with future property values likely to be further positively impacted by any progress on the proposed Metrolink.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.