3 Aylmer Road, Newcastle, Co. Dublin
10 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€395,000 · 3 Bed · 1 Bath · 87m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €395,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
10 closed sales nearby · 12mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €395,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €19,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €395,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€19,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €395,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €395,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 10 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
10 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally above the median of comparable sales. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
10
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
12 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±8%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 10 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aylmer Road, Newcastle, Dublin 22, Dublin | 2026-02-06 | 93.2m² | |
| 15 Aylmer Drive, Aylmer Heath, Newcastle, Dublin | 2025-05-09 | 138m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Significant BER Upgrade Needed: The G BER rating indicates substantial insulation and heating system upgrades are required, with estimated costs ranging from €15,000 to €25,000 to achieve a B2 rating, potentially increasing property value by €20,000-€30,000.
Suboptimal Space Efficiency: At 87m² for a 3-bedroom semi-detached home, the property is smaller than the median sale price for similar broad types within 1km (€454,000), suggesting less spacious living quarters.
Value Optimization Opportunity: Investing €15,000-€25,000 in BER upgrades from G to B2 could not only improve energy efficiency but also significantly enhance market appeal and value, with potential for €20,000-€30,000 capital appreciation.
Hypothesis: The significant disparity between this property's G BER rating and the average BER of properties selling at higher price points within 1km suggests a market preference for energy-efficient homes, making BER upgrades a critical investment for maximizing resale value beyond the initial renovation costs.
Amenities
Limited Direct Public Transport: While Newcastle is served by Dublin Bus routes, specific route numbers and direct links to major transport hubs like Luas or DART stations are not immediately apparent within a close radius, potentially adding commute time.
Essential Local Services: The area provides access to key amenities including schools such as Scoil Naomh Pádraig and shops like Supervalu Newcastle, catering to day-to-day needs.
Walkable Essentials: The immediate vicinity around Aylmer Road likely offers good walkability to local shops and primary schools, enhancing convenience for daily errands and families.
Hypothesis: The future development or improvement of public transport infrastructure connecting Newcastle directly to Luas or DART lines could significantly boost property values in the area, attracting a wider range of commuters and investors.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.