26 ashtown grove, navan road, dublin 7, d07 rw28
43 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€625,000 · 3 Bed · 1 Bath · 100m² · Semi-D
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €625,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
43 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €625,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €31,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €625,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€31,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €625,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €625,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 43 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €625,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
43 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has decreased 1.1% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Financial Exposure · 13% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€625,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
43
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±8%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 43 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 343 Navan Rd, Dublin 7, Dublin, Dublin 7, Dublin | 2025-07-15 | 103m² | |
| 371 Navan Rd, Dublin 7, Dublin, Dublin 7, Dublin | 2025-04-24 | 119m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Low Energy Efficiency: With a BER F rating, this 100m² property is at the lower end of energy efficiency, likely resulting in higher annual energy costs estimated at €2,500-€3,500 compared to €1,000-€1,500 for a B-rated home of similar size.
Details
- Upgrade Opportunity: Improving the BER from F to a B2 rating could cost approximately €25,000-€45,000, but is projected to increase the property's value by €40,000-€60,000, representing a sound investment.
- Bathroom Deficiency: The property's single bathroom falls below the median of 2 or 3 bathrooms for recent sales within a 1km radius, potentially impacting its modern appeal and requiring further investment to align with buyer expectations.
- Hypothesis: The low BER and single bathroom, while drawbacks, present an opportunity for a buyer to add significant value and customize the property to modern standards, potentially achieving a strong return on renovation investment in a market that rewards upgraded homes.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Links: The property benefits from strong connectivity with Ashtown Train Station (within 1km) and numerous Dublin Bus routes (e.g., 37, 38, 38A, 39, 39A) serving the Navan Road, providing convenient access to the city centre.
Details
- Family-Friendly Locale: Located near reputable educational facilities like St. John Bosco's Boys' National School and Our Lady Help of Christians Girls' National School (both within 1.5km), alongside local childcare options, the area is highly appealing for families.
- Lifestyle & Recreation: Residents enjoy immediate access to the expansive Phoenix Park (within 1km via Navan Road Gate), local green spaces, and essential retail with a Lidl supermarket just 500 meters away, enhancing daily convenience and quality of life.
- Hypothesis: The combination of robust public transport, proximity to one of Dublin's largest parks, and essential local amenities creates a highly desirable residential environment that will likely sustain property demand and value appreciation, particularly for family buyers seeking convenience and green space.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.