24 Earlsfort Lane, Lucan, Co. Dublin, Lucan, Co. Dublin
93 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€395,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 89m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €395,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
93 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €395,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €19,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €395,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€19,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €395,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €395,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 93 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
93 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the median of comparable sales, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 3.5% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
93
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±10%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 93 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Earlsfort Dr, Lucan, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-08-15 | 111m² | |
| 3 Earlsfort Lawn, Lucan, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-12-11 | 95m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Cost-Effective BER Upgrade: Upgrading the D1 BER rating to a B2 could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000 and potentially increase the property's value by €15,000-€20,000, offering a good return on investment.
Size Efficiency: At 89m², this semi-detached property is slightly smaller than the average property size of 94m² within a 1km radius over the last 180 days, but its 3 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms offer good space utilization.
Value Optimization: Addressing the D1 BER rating is key; investing in insulation, window upgrades, and potentially a new heating system could improve comfort and marketability, aligning it with the market's preference for better energy efficiency.
Hypothesis: The D1 BER rating, while currently average for the area (100% BER unknown in many metrics), presents a significant opportunity for value enhancement; by strategically investing in energy efficiency upgrades, the owner can unlock a substantial portion of the €15,000-€20,000 potential value increase, making it more competitive with higher-rated properties in the long term.
Amenities
Excellent Connectivity: Served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 66, and 67 providing direct access to Dublin city centre and surrounding areas.
Local Education Hub: Proximity to Scoil San Carlo and St. Mary's Boys National School, along with Lucan Community College, makes it attractive for families.
Convenient Shopping and Healthcare: Close to Liffey Valley Shopping Centre for retail and amenities, and St. Brigid's Health Centre for healthcare needs.
Hypothesis: The established infrastructure in Lucan, including numerous family-oriented amenities and multiple Dublin Bus routes (25, 66, 67), ensures that properties like this Semi-D will continue to attract buyers seeking a balance between suburban living and accessible city commuting, especially as public transport options in Dublin are further enhanced.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.