22 Muillean Close, Swords, Dublin, Swords, Co. Dublin, K67 N8X7
9 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€485,000 · 2 Bed · 3 Bath · 88m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €485,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
9 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €485,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €24,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €485,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€24,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €485,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €25 check before a €485,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 9 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
9 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 16% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€485,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
9
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±12%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
Limited recent transaction volume reduces trend precision. Strategy remains anchored to closed-sale distribution.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 9 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Drynam Avenue, Kettles Lane, Kinsealy, Dublin | 2024-11-07 | 142m² | |
| 25 Muileann Drive, Kinsealy, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-11-13 | 95m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Efficient Energy Savings: With an A3 BER rating, this property's annual energy costs are estimated to be between €800-€1,200, compared to €1,800-€2,200 for a D-rated property of similar size, saving approximately €1,000 annually.
Optimised Space Configuration: This 88m² end-of-terrace property with 2 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms offers a good ratio of bathrooms to bedrooms, which is desirable and can enhance value.
Value-Enhancing Potential: Given the A3 BER rating, significant capital expenditure on energy efficiency is unlikely, meaning funds can be directed towards cosmetic upgrades or interior design, potentially increasing value by €5,000-€10,000 with strategic improvements.
Hypothesis: The A3 BER rating positions this property well against the local market; however, achieving an A2 rating through minor, targeted insulation and ventilation upgrades (estimated €3,000-€5,000 cost) could yield an additional 1-2% increase in resale value compared to similar A3 rated homes in the next 1-2 years.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Hub: Swords is well-served by multiple Dublin Bus routes, including 41, 33, and 236, providing direct access to Dublin city centre and surrounding areas.
Comprehensive Local Amenities: Residents have convenient access to Swords Main Street with numerous shops, supermarkets like Tesco and Dunnes Stores, and the Pavilions Shopping Centre.
Strong Educational and Healthcare Access: The area is within proximity to primary schools such as Holywell Educate Together National School and secondary schools like Fingal Community College, as well as accessing facilities at Beaumont Hospital and the Mater Hospital.
Hypothesis: The ongoing development and expansion plans for the Swords area, including potential enhancements to public transport links to the Dublin Airport and proposed new retail and residential zones, suggest that properties like this, benefiting from the existing infrastructure, are well-positioned for capital growth driven by improved connectivity and amenity access.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.