21 Clonbern, Phoenix Park Racecourse, Castleknock , Dublin 15
76 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€495,000 · 2 Bed · 2 Bath · 84m² · Apartment
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €495,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
76 closed sales nearby · 9mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €495,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €24,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €495,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€24,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €495,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €495,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 76 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €495,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
76 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 10.7% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
76
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
9 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 76 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Pt Clonbern, Phoenix Park Racecourse, Castleknock, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-11-21 | 85m² | |
| 18 Glenesky Sq, Phoenix Park Ave, Phoenix Park Racecourse Dublin 15, Dublin 15, Dublin | 2025-03-10 | 96m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER A2 Advantage: With an A2 BER rating, annual energy costs for this 84m² apartment are estimated at €800-€1,200, compared to €1,800-€2,200 for a D-rated property of similar size.
Details
- Space Efficiency: The 84m² size of this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment aligns closely with the average property size of 79.97m² within a 1km radius over the past 180 days.
- Value Optimization: While the BER A2 rating is excellent, a potential upgrade from an A2 to an A1 BER could further enhance value by an estimated €5,000-€10,000, with minimal additional energy cost savings but improved marketability.
- Hypothesis: The consistent presence of 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartments with A2 BER ratings in the market data (72.41% of properties within 1km are apartments) suggests this configuration is a well-understood and established market segment, making any deviations from this standard likely to impact valuation.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: While specific bus routes and train stations serving Phoenix Park Racecourse are not detailed in the provided data, general Dublin 15 locations often benefit from Dublin Bus routes such as the 38 series connecting to the city centre and nearby centres like Blanchardstown.
Details
- Lifestyle Facilities: The Phoenix Park Racecourse area is adjacent to the vast Phoenix Park, offering extensive recreational opportunities, and is a short drive from Castleknock Village, which provides a range of local shops, cafes, and restaurants.
- Walkability & Local Services: Residents within Phoenix Park Racecourse benefit from good internal walkability within the development and proximity to the amenities in Castleknock Village, approximately a 1.5km walk away, which includes local pharmacies and GP services.
- Hypothesis: The development of the Elm Park Business Park in proximity to similar residential areas in Dublin 15 suggests potential for future commercial and service amenities, which could positively impact walkability and convenience for residents of Phoenix Park Racecourse over the next 3-5 years.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.