201 The Links, Elm Park, Merrion, Dublin 4, D04 W523
22 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€850,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 144m² · Apartment
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €850,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
22 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €850,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €42,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €850,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€42,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €850,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €850,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 22 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €850,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
22 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally below the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
22
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±12%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 22 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apt 154 The Links, Elm Park, Dublin 4, Dublin | 2025-07-10 | 144m² | |
| Apartment 131, The Links, Elm Park, Dublin | 2025-07-24 | 197m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER C1 Impact: With a C1 BER rating, annual energy costs are estimated to be €1,800-€2,200. Investing approximately €6,000-€9,000 to upgrade to a B3 rating could reduce these costs by €400-€600 annually and potentially increase the property's market value by €8,000-€12,000.
Details
- Spacious Living: At 144 sqm, this apartment is larger than the 1km average property size of 150 sqm over 180 days, offering generous living space that aligns with buyer preferences for larger apartments in this affluent area.
- Value Optimization: The significant difference between the estimated value (€1,179,319) and the asking price (€850,000) suggests an opportunity to optimize value through strategic negotiation or minor improvements, particularly if the C1 BER can be addressed.
- Hypothesis: The consistent 100% BER unknown percentage across all timeframes suggests a lack of updated energy efficiency data for the local market, potentially masking a broader trend of older, less efficient properties being re-rated or upgraded, which could put properties like this one with a C1 BER at a competitive disadvantage in the medium term if the trend continues.
Amenities
Transport Links: The Elm Park location offers excellent connectivity, with the LUAS Green Line accessible at the nearby Kilmacud stop, and Dublin Bus routes 7, 46a, 63, 118 serving the immediate vicinity, providing direct access to Dublin City Centre and surrounding suburbs.
Details
- Educational Hub: Residents benefit from proximity to a range of educational institutions including St. Andrew's College, Blackrock College, and UCD Belfield within a short commute, alongside local primary schools.
- Local Services: Within walking distance, residents can access amenities at Merrion Shopping Centre, with a variety of supermarkets, cafes, and essential retail services, complemented by nearby healthcare facilities such as Blackrock Clinic.
- Hypothesis: The significant increase in the number of sales within 1km over the last 30 days (2) compared to the 180-day average (6.17) for apartments, combined with the relatively high average asking price within 3km (€1,329,736) in the last 30 days, indicates a tightening supply of high-quality apartments in prime South Dublin locations, which could drive further price growth for well-located properties like this one.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.