2 Elm Way, Grange Wood, Rathfarnham, Dublin 16, D16 C8Y7
119 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€795,000 · 4 Bed · 3 Bath · 140m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €795,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
119 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €795,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €39,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €795,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€39,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €795,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €795,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 119 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
119 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the median of comparable sales, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 1.8% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
119
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±13%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 119 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Elm Way, Grange Wood, Grange Rd Dublin 16, Dublin 16, Dublin | 2025-11-26 | 130m² | |
| 5 The Cherries, Grange Wood, Rathfarnham, Dublin 16, Dublin | 2025-10-23 | 95m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER C3 Energy Performance: The C3 BER rating suggests moderate energy efficiency; upgrading to a B2 rating would likely cost between €8,000 and €12,000, potentially increasing property value by €15,000-€20,000.
Ample Living Space: With 140m² and 4 bedrooms, this semi-detached home offers more space than the typical 1km median sale price of €697,500 properties, suggesting good value per square meter at the asking price.
Value Optimization Opportunity: The €8,000-€12,000 investment to improve the BER from C3 to B2 could yield a return of €15,000-€20,000 in enhanced property value and reduced running costs.
Hypothesis: The C3 BER rating, while not poor, presents a tangible opportunity for value uplift; focusing on a targeted BER improvement could significantly enhance the property's market appeal and long-term energy cost savings, especially when compared to A or B rated properties in the vicinity.
Amenities
Transport Links: The property is well-served by Dublin Bus routes 175 and 44, providing direct access to Dublin city center and surrounding areas, with stops less than 500m away.
Local Conveniences: Residents have easy access to the shops and services at Rathfarnham Shopping Centre (1.5km) and a variety of cafes and restaurants in the village centre (1.2km).
Green Space Access: Located within a 1km radius of Marlay Park and St. Enda's Park, offering extensive recreational facilities and walking trails for residents.
Hypothesis: The proximity to Marlay Park and the well-established Rathfarnham village amenities, combined with direct bus routes like the 175, creates a strong lifestyle appeal that historically commands a price premium within this specific Dublin 16 pocket, justifying higher local asking prices.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.