2 Aylmer Road, Newcastle, Newcastle, Dublin 22, D22 KN24
10 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€525,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 130m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €525,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 10 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 3.2/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
10 closed sales nearby · 13mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €525,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €26,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €525,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€26,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €525,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €525,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 10 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
10 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally below the median of comparable sales. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
10
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
13 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±8%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 10 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aylmer Road, Newcastle, Dublin 22, Dublin | 2026-02-06 | 93.2m² | |
| 10 Newcastle Manor Sq, Newcastle, Dublin, Dublin 22, Dublin | 2025-10-21 | 112m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Rating Advantage: With a B3 BER rating, this property likely has annual energy costs of approximately €1,500-€1,900, compared to €2,200-€2,800 for a D-rated property of similar size.
Spacious Design: At 130.0m², this semi-detached property offers a generous living space, which is positive compared to potentially smaller properties in the immediate vicinity.
Upgrade Potential: While the B3 rating is good, upgrading to an A-rated BER could cost €10,000-€15,000 and potentially increase the property's value by €18,000-€25,000, representing a sound investment.
Hypothesis: The B3 BER rating positions this property favourably against older stock, but the 130m² size offers significant potential for value enhancement through targeted upgrades to achieve an A-rating, potentially adding a further 10-15% to its market appeal.
Amenities
Transport Links: While specific routes are not provided, the Dublin 22 postcode typically serves areas with Dublin Bus routes such as the 40, 76, and 214, offering connectivity to key city locations.
Local Facilities: The area around Newcastle, Dublin 22, is generally well-served by local amenities including primary schools like St. Finian's National School and secondary schools such as Maynooth Community College.
Green Space Access: Proximity to the Liffey Valley Park and local sports grounds provides residents with accessible outdoor recreational opportunities, enhancing quality of life.
Hypothesis: The continued development of infrastructure in areas like Newcastle, coupled with the established network of schools and parks, suggests that this property's long-term value will be significantly driven by its proximity to essential family services and developing community amenities rather than solely its connection to central Dublin transport hubs.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.