19 Hawthorn Gate, Celbridge, Co. Kildare, W23 A0Y2
14 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€445,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 92m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €445,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 14 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 4/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
14 closed sales nearby · 7mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €445,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €22,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €445,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€22,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €445,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €445,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 14 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €445,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
14 verified closed sales within 3.0km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%). Filters broadened to increase sample size.
Asking price sits marginally above the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
14
Transactions Analysed
Within 3.0km
7 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±11%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 14 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 The Orchard, Oldtown Mill, Celbridge, Kildare | 2025-09-12 | — | |
| 5 Harpur Row, Leixlip, Kildare, Kildare | 2025-05-30 | 117.1m² |
Transactions within a 3.0km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Energy Efficiency Advantage: With a B1 BER rating, this property is positioned well; upgrading to an A-rated BER could cost an estimated €8,000-€12,000, potentially increasing its value by €15,000-€20,000 and reducing annual energy costs by €600-€1,000 compared to current estimates of €1,800-€2,200.
Details
- Compact Living Efficiency: At 92.0m², this property is smaller than the average property size of 161.5m² within a 5km radius, suggesting efficient use of space for its three bedrooms and three bathrooms.
- Value Optimization Opportunity: While the BER rating is good, minor cosmetic upgrades or modernization of fixtures could align this property with current market preferences, potentially adding 3-5% to its value in the €419,770 to €445,000 price bracket.
- Hypothesis: Given the B1 BER rating, the property has a strong foundation for energy efficiency. Further investment in airtightness and insulation, rather than just heating systems, could unlock an additional 1-2 point BER improvement, translating to a tangible €5,000-€10,000 value uplift and enhanced market appeal.
Amenities
Commuter Links: While specific bus routes, train stations, or Luas stops are not provided in the raw data, the 'Dublin' location tag implies access to commuter networks.
Details
- Local Services Availability: The proximity to shops, schools, and parks is not detailed in the provided data, but the general location suggests access to typical suburban amenities.
- Family Focus Potential: The presence of three bedrooms and three bathrooms indicates suitability for families, though specific childcare and educational facilities are not detailed.
- Hypothesis: The lack of specific amenity data within the provided metrics suggests that a buyer would need to conduct local research to ascertain the true value of transport connectivity and lifestyle facilities, which are crucial for property valuation in the Dublin commuter belt.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.