178 Dundoogan, Dundalk, Blackrock, Co. Louth, A91 XW3X
13 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€430,000 · 4 Bed · 3 Bath · 116m² · Semi-D
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €430,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
13 closed sales nearby · 11mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €430,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €21,500 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €430,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€21,500
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €430,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €430,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 13 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €430,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
13 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Financial Exposure · 19% Above Median
If purchased at asking, you are paying above where most similar homes sold. A defined ceiling is designed to close this gap.
If purchased at asking
€430,000
Above transaction median
Above Upper Range
Buying at asking would put you well above what similar homes sold for — that's elevated overpayment risk.
Statistical Confidence · High
13
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
11 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±8%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 13 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 242 Dundoogan, Haynestown, Dundalk, Louth | 2025-04-30 | 123m² | |
| 2 Cois Cladaigh, Cocklehill, Blackrock, Louth | 2025-01-17 | 125m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Exceptional Efficiency: With an A2 BER rating, this property's annual energy costs are estimated at €800-€1,200, significantly lower than the €1,800-€2,200 expected for a D-rated property of similar size within the 100km radius.
Details
- Spacious Living: The 116.0m² size and 4 bedrooms offer ample living space, aligning with the upper end of desirable configurations, particularly in contrast to the median 3 bedrooms within the 100km radius.
- Modern Build Advantage: The A2 BER rating suggests a relatively modern construction, likely featuring high levels of insulation and efficient heating systems, which are increasingly valued and command a premium compared to older properties with poorer BER ratings.
- Hypothesis: Given the A2 BER rating, the €438,755 estimated value reflects a premium of approximately 5-8% over similar 4-bedroom semi-detached homes with C or B BER ratings within a 10km radius, as buyers are increasingly willing to invest in energy-efficient homes that offer long-term cost savings.
Amenities
Connected Location: While specific bus routes are not provided for this exact address, its 'Outside Dublin' location suggests potential access to regional bus services connecting to larger hubs.
Details
- Local Services Abound: The Blackrock area is known for its coastal amenities and proximity to Dundalk town, offering access to local schools, shops, and dining options typical of a well-established town and seaside community.
- Family Focus: The area benefits from proximity to multiple educational facilities, suggesting it's a desirable location for families seeking good schools and local amenities within a community setting.
- Hypothesis: While not directly on a Luas or DART line, the property's location in Blackrock, Co. Louth, could see increased appeal and value retention due to planned regional infrastructure upgrades or improved public transport links to Drogheda or Newry, making it a more attractive commuter base for those seeking a balance between coastal living and access to employment centers.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.