16 Shackleton Way, Lucan, Co. Dublin, K78 X3C4
19 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€549,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 112m² · End of Terrace
Market Position
At the Upper End of Local Sales
At €549,000, this home is priced above what similar properties sold for — buyers at this level tend to overpay without a defined ceiling.
19 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €549,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €27,450 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €549,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€27,450
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €549,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €549,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 19 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €549,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
19 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Statistical Confidence · High
19
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±10%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 19 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Shackelton Way, Shackleton Park, Lucan, Dublin | 2025-09-16 | 116m² | |
| 23 Gandon Place, Gandon Park, Lucan, Dublin | 2025-01-29 | 113m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
Exceptional BER Rating: The A3 BER rating ensures significantly lower annual energy costs, estimated at €800-€1,200 compared to €1,800-€2,200 for a D-rated property of similar size, offering an annual saving of €1,000-€1,400.
Details
- Generous Size: At 112.0m², this property is larger than the average property size of 86.0m² sold within a 1km radius over the last 30 days, providing more living space than recent comparable transactions.
- Value Optimization: The property's A3 BER rating represents a significant advantage, as properties with lower BER ratings (e.g., D) in the local area would likely require an investment of €8,000-€12,000 for upgrades that could increase value by €15,000-€20,000.
- Hypothesis: The A3 BER rating suggests advanced energy-efficient features that are likely above the typical standard for properties sold within a 3km radius over the past 180 days (where 100% of properties had unknown BER ratings), implying a substantial market premium for this property based on its forward-thinking construction.
Amenities
Excellent Connectivity: The property is well-served by Dublin Bus routes 25A, 25B, 66A, 66B, and 67A, providing direct access to Dublin city centre and surrounding areas, significantly enhancing commuter convenience.
Details
- Local Services Abound: Residents have easy access to Lucan Shopping Centre, SuperValu, Lidl, and a range of local eateries such as The Old Forge and Picasso, catering to daily needs and leisure.
- Family Focus: Proximity to Scoil Naomh Pádraig, Adamstown Castle Educate Together National School, and Lucan Community College, along with numerous playgrounds and parks like Griffeen Valley Park, makes this an ideal location for families.
- Hypothesis: The presence of direct Dublin Bus routes (e.g., 25B) and the proximity to Griffeen Valley Park, combined with a significant number of 3-bedroom properties being sold within a 3km radius (88.78% over 180 days), indicates a strong demand from families seeking a balance of suburban living with accessible urban links, likely contributing to sustained property value appreciation in this specific pocket of Lucan.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.