16 Merrion Park, Blackrock, Co. Dublin, A94 K166
24 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€695,000 · 3 Bed · 2 Bath · 80m² · Terrace
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €695,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 24 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 3/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
24 closed sales nearby · 12mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €695,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €34,750 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €695,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€34,750
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €695,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €695,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 24 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Price Distribution Analysis
24 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price sits marginally above the median of comparable sales. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 6% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
24
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
12 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 24 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 Merrion Park, Blackrock, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-04-09 | 90m² | |
| 87 Merrion Park, Hill Ave South, Blackrock, Dublin | 2025-12-09 | 122m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Investment Opportunity: The C3 BER rating suggests that upgrading to a B2 rating could cost approximately €8,000-€12,000, potentially increasing the property's value by €15,000-€20,000 and reducing annual energy costs.
Size Efficiency: With 80m² of living space and 3 bedrooms, the property offers a good balance, although the average price per sqm within 1km (€7,667) indicates that value is derived more from location than sheer size.
Value Optimization: The asking price being €73,729.81 below the estimated value suggests immediate equity potential for a buyer who can identify and execute strategic upgrades that align with local market demand.
Hypothesis: Given the C3 BER, a targeted investment in energy efficiency upgrades, specifically focusing on insulation and heating system improvements, could unlock a significant value uplift, particularly if neighbouring properties are achieving higher BER ratings.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity: Residents have access to Dublin Bus routes 46A, 75, and 114, and are within a reasonable distance of Blackrock DART station, offering excellent connectivity to Dublin city centre and surrounding areas.
Educational Hub: The area is well-served by esteemed educational institutions, including Carysfort National School, Blackrock College, and the Smurfit Graduate Business School, making it highly attractive to families and professionals.
Lifestyle & Recreation: Immediate proximity to Blackrock Park, numerous cafes like Avoca and Cafe Nero, and the boutiques and supermarkets of Blackrock Village, provides residents with a vibrant and convenient lifestyle.
Hypothesis: The strong presence of high-performing schools and extensive public transport links, particularly the DART, creates a sustained demand for properties in Blackrock, suggesting that future value growth will be underpinned by its established reputation as a prime family and commuter location.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW flood extent mapping (CFRAM fluvial + NCFHM coastal) and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from the National Planning Application Database via MyPlan.ie — merged Local Authority planning registers from the Department of Housing. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.