16 Hawthorn Park, Swords, Co. Dublin, K67 VH93
87 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€585,000 · 4 Bed · 2 Bath · 119m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Priced Above Local Sales
At €585,000, this home is priced above what most similar properties sold for recently. Buyers at this level have historically paid a premium — a disciplined opening offer and a firm walk-away ceiling are essential.
87 closed sales nearby · 9mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €585,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
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Overbidding by 5% could cost €29,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €585,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
€29,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €585,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €585,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 87 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €585,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
87 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned above the size-adjusted median. This places the property outside the core transaction band where most comparable homes closed. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
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Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 2.2% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Local pricing conditions remain stable. No significant directional pressure.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
87
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
9 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±16%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 87 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Hawthorn Park, Forest Park, Swords, Dublin | 2025-11-21 | 119.3m² | |
| 18 Hawthorn Park, Swords, Dublin, Dublin | 2025-09-29 | 164m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Upgrade Opportunity: With a D1 BER rating, upgrading this 119m² property to a B2 rating could cost between €8,000-€12,000, potentially increasing its market value by €15,000-€20,000 and reducing annual energy costs from an estimated €1,800-€2,200 to €800-€1,200.
Details
- Generous Family Space: At 119m² with 4 bedrooms, this semi-detached property offers significantly more living space than the average 72m² and 2.5-bedroom homes sold within a 1km radius, making it highly attractive for families seeking larger accommodation.
- Ideal Family Layout: This property's 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom configuration is well-aligned with buyer preferences in the area, offering a functional layout that exceeds the median bedroom count and matches the median bathroom count for properties within a 1km radius.
- Hypothesis: Given the strong demand for larger family homes in Swords and the potential for significant value uplift through a modest BER upgrade, this property is poised to capture premium buyer interest as an ideal blend of size and investment potential in a competitive market.
Amenities
Excellent Bus Links: This property benefits from excellent connectivity with numerous Dublin Bus routes, including the direct Swords Express service to Dublin City Centre, and local routes such as the 33, 41, and 102, all accessible within a short walk.
Details
- Strong Family Appeal: The area boasts a strong selection of educational facilities, including St. Cronan's Junior National School (approx 1km) and Colaiste Choilm (approx 2km), alongside several childcare options like Bright Beginnings Montessori (approx 1km), making it highly attractive for families.
- Vibrant Local Lifestyle: Residents can enjoy a vibrant local lifestyle with the Pavilions Shopping Centre (approx 2km) and Swords Main Street providing extensive retail and dining options, complemented by green spaces like Rivervalley Park (approx 1km) for recreation.
- Hypothesis: Swords' strategic position, combining direct city centre bus connections, proximity to Dublin Airport, and a comprehensive suite of local amenities including major shopping centres and reputable schools, will continue to drive its desirability as a suburban hub for commuters and families, underpinning long-term property value stability.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.