15 Johnsbridge Grove, Lucan, Co. Dublin, K78 XP59
117 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€469,000 · 3 Bed · 3 Bath · 120m² · Semi-D
Market Position
Below Typical Sale Prices
At €469,000, this home is priced below what similar properties sold for in the area. That's a favourable starting position — but consider a structural survey before committing.
117 closed sales nearby · 10mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €469,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €23,450 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €469,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€23,450
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €469,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €469,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 117 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €469,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
117 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price is positioned below the size-adjusted median, suggesting favourable entry conditions. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 7.3% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
117
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
10 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±15%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 117 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Johnsbridge Park Lucan, Dublin, Dublin | 2024-11-14 | 109m² | |
| 13 The Crescent, Grange Manor, Lucan, Dublin | 2024-10-29 | 108m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER C3 Energy Efficiency: With a C3 BER rating, this property is moderately energy efficient. Upgrading to a B2 rating would likely cost €10,000-€15,000 and could increase property value by €18,000-€25,000, while current annual energy costs are estimated at €1,500-€2,000 compared to €900-€1,300 for B-rated homes.
Details
- Generous Space: The 120m² size of this semi-detached property is 14.7% larger than the average property size of 104.5m² within a 1km radius over the last 180 days, offering better value for space.
- Configuration Advantage: The 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom layout is well-aligned with the median of 3 beds and 3 baths in the 1km radius over the last 180 days, fitting the typical family requirement.
- Hypothesis: While the C3 BER is acceptable, the significant size advantage (120m² vs 104.5m² average) combined with the desirable 3-bed, 3-bath configuration presents an opportunity. Investing in energy efficiency upgrades from C3 to B2 could unlock an additional 5-7% in value beyond the current market premium for size.
Amenities
Excellent Transport Connectivity: The area is served by Dublin Bus routes 25A, 66, and 67, offering direct access to Dublin city centre, and is approximately 3km from the Adamstown train station, providing rail links.
Details
- Local Lifestyle Hub: Residents have easy access to Lucan Shopping Centre (2km) featuring a Dunnes Stores and various retailers, as well as numerous local restaurants and cafes, and the large amenity of Phoenix Park within a 3km radius.
- Family & Healthcare Access: Proximity to Scoil Aonghusa Junior School (1.5km) and Lucan Community College (2.5km), along with TUH Lucan Primary Care Centre (2km) and Connolly Hospital (5km) ensures convenience for families and healthcare needs.
- Hypothesis: The established nature of Lucan, coupled with ongoing infrastructure improvements such as the proposed new spine road in the wider area, will continue to enhance connectivity. This property's positioning near key transport arteries and amenities suggests a strong potential for capital appreciation driven by ongoing suburban growth and demand for family homes.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.