147 Millrace Road, Phoenix Park Racecourse, Dublin 15, D15 HF86
88 homes sold nearby. See what they went for — and what to bid on this one.
€445,000 · 2 Bed · 2 Bath · 80m² · Apartment
Market Position
Priced Within Local Sold Range
At €445,000, this home is priced within the typical range of 88 recent closed sales nearby. There's room to negotiate — seller leverage is 4.1/10. If bidding heats up, you'll need a clear ceiling to avoid overpaying.
88 closed sales nearby · 8mo recency · High confidence · Property Price Register
Sources: PPR, SEAI, OPW, planning records.
How this is calculated
We search the Property Price Register for closed sales near this property — matching by location, beds, property type, and where available, floor area (±20%). This gives us a set of genuinely comparable transactions.
Each sale is then time-adjusted to today using local price trends, so a sale from 18 months ago is inflated (or deflated) to reflect current market conditions. Where floor area is known, sales are also size-adjusted — a 90m² sale is normalised to what it would have sold for at this property's size. This means the figures you see aren't raw prices — they're what those same homes would likely sell for today, at this size.
Your bid strategy (opening offer, sealed bid range, walk-away ceiling) is then derived from the statistical distribution of these adjusted sales — with conservative safety margins applied when data is thin or dated.
Every figure comes from actual government-recorded sale prices. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.
Full methodology →Opening
Start here
Best & Final
If multiple offers
Ceiling
Do not exceed
Before you bid €445,000, get your opening offer, best-and-final range, and walk-away ceiling.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Overbidding by 5% could cost €22,250 before interest.
Analysing 625,000+ Property Price Register transactions since 2010.
What your report includes
Before You Bid
Before you bid €445,000, see this.
Here is what the data says about this property.
Will This Go Over Asking?
above asking
Probability of a sale above asking based on local bidding patterns.
Am I Overpaying?
local sales
Where the asking price sits in the verified local transaction distribution.
Negotiation Leverage Score
How much negotiation leverage you have based on market conditions.
These signals interact — full analysis in report.
€22,250
That's what overbidding by just 5% on a €445,000 home costs you — before interest.
A €19 check before a €445,000 commitment.
Get Your Exact Bid Numbers for This Property
You've seen the market signals. Now get the exact numbers: where to open, how far to go, and when to walk away.
Built from 625,000+ verified Irish property transactions
Based on 88 verified local sales · High confidence
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
From €19 for your strategy on a €445,000 home. Independent valuations start at €150 — same data source, fraction of the cost.
Price Distribution Analysis
88 verified closed sales within 1.5km · 18 months. Size-adjusted for similar homes (type match, beds ±1, size ±20%).
Asking price aligns with the size-adjusted median. Median anchored to size-similar transactions.
This chart shows where the asking price sits versus recent verified closed sales. It does not show your bid strategy.Same baseline as Market Position — size-adjusted.
The chart shows the market. Your report gives the number not to exceed.
Instant access · No subscription · Refund if not useful
Local Market Momentum
Unlock to adjust radius, timespan, and comparison window.
Radius: 1.5kmTime: 18m12m vs 12mMedian transaction price per m² has increased 11.3% year-on-year, based on the trailing 18-month transaction window.
Indicates sustained upward pricing pressure in the local market.
Recent closed sales are time-adjusted to current market conditions before calculating transaction bands.
Statistical Confidence · High
88
Transactions Analysed
Within 1.5km
8 months
Data Freshness
Most recent sale age
±20%
Price Spread
How much prices vary
High
Confidence Level
Recent sale prices in this area are closely clustered, which means the data is reliable and the bid strategy is well-supported.
High data density supports precise entry positioning.
PPR closed sales · size & time adjusted · no asking prices used
Supporting Evidence · 88 Transactions
Size and time adjustments applied before percentile computation.
| Address | Sold | Date | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Cedarhurst, Phoenix Park Racecourse, Castleknock, Dublin 11, Dublin | 2025-01-31 | 74m² | |
| Apt. 22 Millrace Road, Pheonix Park, Castleknock, Dublin | 2025-04-24 | 82m² |
Transactions within a 1.5km radius and 18-month window.
Methodology
Closed sales time-adjusted to current market · size-weighted where floor area available · no asking prices or agent estimates used.
How adjustments work
- —Older sales inflated to current market level so stale data doesn't skew bands
- —Similar-sized properties weighted more heavily where floor area is known
- —Local price trends factored in when sufficient data exists; no artificial uplift otherwise
- —All figures from registered closed sales only — no asking prices, no agent estimates
Local Market Notes
Property Quality
BER Rating Advantage: With a B3 BER rating, this apartment is likely to have annual energy costs between €1,200-€1,600, compared to €2,000-€2,600 for similar-sized properties with a D-rated BER, offering direct annual savings of €800-€1,000.
Details
- Configuration Alignment: This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment aligns perfectly with the median of 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms sold within a 1km radius over the last 180 days, indicating a desirable configuration for the local market.
- Value Optimization Opportunity: While the BER is good, upgrading from B3 to B2 could further enhance energy efficiency, potentially reducing annual energy costs by an estimated €100-€200 and positively impacting resale value without significant capital outlay.
- Hypothesis: The prevalence of 100% BER unknown properties in the immediate 1km radius over the last 180 days means this B3 rating stands out, potentially allowing for a price premium if the market becomes more discerning about energy efficiency in the near future.
Amenities
Transport Connectivity Hub: The property is well-served by Dublin Bus routes 25, 25A, 66, 66A, 66B, 67, and 67A, providing direct access to Dublin City Centre and surrounding areas, with the Luas Red Line accessible via a short bus journey.
Details
- Local Educational & Healthcare Access: Situated near esteemed institutions such as St. Patrick's National School (700m), Castleknock Community College (2km), and Mater Hospital (8km) with Connolly Hospital (5km) also accessible, offering excellent family and healthcare provisions.
- Retail and Leisure Proximity: Residents have convenient access to the Blanchardstown Shopping Centre (3km) for extensive retail options and nearby cafes like The Crafty Fox (1.5km), alongside the vast recreational space of the Phoenix Park (500m).
- Hypothesis: The development of the Elm Park Business Park and the potential for future Luas extensions could significantly boost the long-term appeal and property values in this D15 location, enhancing commuter convenience and economic activity.
Derived from nearby closed-sale patterns.
Built on verified Irish public data
Property Price Register
625,000+ verified closed sales
SEAI
Building energy ratings & floor area
Office of Public Works
Flood zones, events & study areas
MyPlan.ie
Planning applications nationwide
Common Questions
Bid strategy figures are derived from the Property Price Register — Ireland's official record of closed residential sale prices, verified through stamp duty. Floor area data comes from the SEAI BER register. Flood exposure is cross-referenced against OPW CFRAM flood extent mapping and historical flood events. Planning activity is sourced from national planning application records via MyPlan.ie. No asking prices, no agent estimates, no automated valuations.